TT
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
stat.APstat.MEstat.MLcs.CVcs.LGecon.EMmath.PRmath.STphysics.geo-phstat.OT
On Valency
published · living versionsW_kq2brmuz·v1 · currentpublished
Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression
with Kira Feldmann, Michael Scheuerer
1 version
W_p5pw8bd2·v1published
W_atn23dj9·v1published
W_hzrran67·v1published
W_jtuersd9·v1published
Preprints & journals
38 papers in the corpus · 2010–2026Dynamic factor and double PCA models for partially observed survival curves: Forecasting demand in short-term rental markets2609.31190v1 · Marthe Elisabeth Aastveit, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis Thorarinsdottir2026 · 0 citationsarXiv
Flood risk estimation via geometric extremal graphical models2607.15000v2 · Kristina Grolmusova, Jennifer L. Wadsworth, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2026 · 0 citationsarXiv
A spatial duration-augmented framework for drought persistence2607.06805v1 · Touqeer Ahmad, Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir2026 · 0 citationsarXiv
Simulation and evaluation of local daily temperature and precipitation series derived by stochastic downscaling of ERA5 reanalysis2507.01692v2 · Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski2025 · 0 citationsHydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 3875-3901 (2026)
Applications of machine learning to predict seasonal precipitation for East Africa2409.06238v1 · Michael Scheuerer, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Titike K. Bahaga et al.2024 · 1 citationarXiv
What you see is not what is there: Mechanisms, models, and methods for point pattern deviations2310.02292v1 · Peter Guttorp, Janine Illian, Joel Kostensalo et al.2023 · 1 citationarXiv
Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods2201.01121v1 · Thea Roksv\aag, Alex Lenkoski, Michael Scheuerer et al.2022 · 2 citationsarXiv
Assessing present and future risk of water damage using building attributes, meteorology and topography2110.15862v2 · Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Jens Christian Wahl, Alba Ordonez et al.2021 · 4 citationsarXiv
Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules2110.11803v2 · Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Peter Guttorp et al.2021 · 9 citationsarXiv
Quantile based modelling of diurnal temperature range with the five-parameter lambda distribution2109.11180v2 · Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Ingelin Steinsland et al.2021 · 8 citationsarXiv
Forecasting: theory and practice2012.03854v4 · Fotios Petropoulos, Daniele Apiletti, Vassilios Assimakopoulos et al.2020 · 939 citationsarXiv
Non-stationarity in Esbjerg sea-level returnlevels: Applications in climate change adaptation1911.03874v1 · Peter Thejll, Peter Guttorp, Martin Drews et al.2019 · 0 citationsarXiv
Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories1910.05101v1 · Nina Schuhen, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski2019 · 4 citationsarXiv
Multivariate postprocessing methods for high-dimensional seasonal weather forecasts1907.09716v2 · Claudio Heinrich, Kristoffer H. Hellton, Alex Lenkoski et al.2019 · 14 citationsarXiv
New approach for stochastic downscaling and bias correction of daily mean temperatures to a high-resolution grid1906.10464v1 · Qifen Yuan, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Stein Beldring et al.2019 · 0 citationsarXiv
Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production - Part 1: Wind1903.01186v1 · Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Anders L\oland, Alex Lenkoski2019 · 1 citationarXiv
Probabilistic Forecasting of Temporal Trajectories of Regional Power Production - Part 2: Photovoltaic Solar1903.01188v1 · Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Anders L\oland, Alex Lenkoski2019 · 1 citationarXiv
Spatial trend analysis of gridded temperature data at varying spatial scales1901.08874v1 · Ola Haug, Thordis L Thorarinsdottir, Sigrunn H S\orbye et al.2019 · 5 citationsarXiv
Estimating seal pup production in the Greenland Sea using Bayesian hierarchical modeling1808.09254v2 · Martin Jullum, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Fabian E. Bachl2018 · 6 citationsarXiv
Bayesian regional flood frequency analysis for large catchments1802.09278v2 · Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Kristoffer H. Hellton, Gunnhildur H. Steinbakk et al.2018 · 38 citationsarXiv
Evaluation of time series models under non-stationarity with application to the comparison of regional climate models1702.00728v1 · T. M. Erhardt, C. Czado, T. L. Thorarinsdottir2017 · 0 citationsarXiv
Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output1608.06802v6 · Fabian Kruger, Sebastian Lerch, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.2016 · 80 citationsarXiv
Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation1512.09244v1 · Sebastian Lerch, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Francesco Ravazzolo et al.2015 · 155 citationsarXiv
Spatially adaptive, Bayesian estimation for probabilistic temperature forecasts1507.05066v3 · Annette Moller, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski et al.2015 · 4 citationsarXiv
Gaussian Random Particles with Flexible Hausdorff Dimension1502.01750v3 · Linda V. Hansen, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Evgeni Ovcharov et al.2015 · 18 citationsarXiv
Spatial postprocessing of ensemble forecasts for temperature using nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression1407.0058v1 · Kira Feldmann, Michael Scheuerer, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2014 · 79 citationsarXivon Valency
Shape from Texture using Locally Scaled Point Processes1311.7401v1 · Eva-Maria Didden, Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski et al.2013 · 2 citationsarXiv
Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms1310.0236v2 · Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Michael Scheuerer, Christopher Heinz2013 · 74 citationsarXiv
Bayesian hierarchical modeling of extreme hourly precipitation in Norway1309.6111v2 · Anita V. Dyrrdal, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.2013 · 101 citationsarXiv
Bayesian Motion Estimation for Dust Aerosols1308.0469v2 · Fabian E. Bachl, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir et al.2013 · 0 citationsarXiv
Calibration diagnostics for point process models via the probability integral transform1305.3409v1 · Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2013 · 7 citationsarXiv
Comparison of nonhomogeneous regression models for probabilistic wind speed forecasting1305.2026v1 · Sebastian Lerch, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2013 · 115 citationsTellus A 2013, 65, 21206
Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling1302.7149v2 · Roman Schefzik, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting2013 · 273 citationsStatistical Science 2013, Vol. 28, No. 4, 616-640on Valency
Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models1301.5927v2 · Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting, Nadine Gissibl2013 · 87 citationsarXiv
Forecast verification for extreme value distributions with an application to probabilistic peak wind prediction1204.1022v3 · Petra Friederichs, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2012 · 111 citationsEnvironmetrics 23 (2012) 579-594on Valency
Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using Bayesian model averaging and copulas1202.3956v1 · Annette Moller, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2012 · 131 citationsarXivon Valency
Ensemble model output statistics for wind vectors1201.2612v1 · Nina Schuhen, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting2012 · 87 citationsarXivon Valency
Predicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts1010.2318v1 · Tilmann Gneiting, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir2010 · 13 citationsarXiv
Career total: at least 133 works. 38 are in this corpus.
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