AW
Antje Weisheimer
physics.ao-phClimateextreme event attributionModels, TheoreticalPhysical Sciences and Mathematicsseasonalseasonal forecastingAnthropogenic forcingsApplied MathematicsAtmospheric circulation
On Valency
published · living versionsW_7p2x85x9·v1 · currentpublished
Sensitivity of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model to CO2 and anthropogenic aerosol forcings: Experimental design and impact on climate trends
with Michael Mayer, Daniel J. Befort, Jacob Maddison
1 version
W_zugs8qcf·v1published
W_t9wkpg2c·v1published
Preprints & journals
23 papers in the corpus · 2005–2026Sensitivity of the ECMWF seasonal forecast model to CO2 and anthropogenic aerosol forcings: Experimental design and impact on climate trends2608.18712v1 · Michael Mayer, Daniel J. Befort, Jacob Maddison et al.2026 · 0 citationsarXivon Valency
Diagnosing subseasonal and seasonal drivers of European and North African winter extremes using information theoryx5fr01 · Marlene Kretschmer, Fiona Spuler, Lluís Palma et al.2026 · 0 citationsEarthArXiv
Improved rainfall forecasts in daily use over East Africa2512.24525v2 · Fenwick C. Cooper, Shruti Nath, Andrew T. T. McRae et al.2025 · 0 citationsarXiv
Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability.40059872 · Dong, Buwen, Aksenov, Yevgeny, Colfescu, Ioana et al.2026 · 7 citationsClimate dynamics. 2025;63(2):113
CO2-induced climate change assessment for the extreme 2022 Pakistan rainfall using seasonal forecasts.40655428 · Weisheimer, Antje, Palmer, Tim N, Leach, Nicholas J et al.2025 · 3 citationsNPJ climate and atmospheric science. 2025;8(1):262
Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts.38816393 · Leach, Nicholas J, Roberts, Christopher D, Aengenheyster, Matthias et al.2024 · 44 citationsNature communications. 2024;15(1):4530
The link between North Atlantic tropical cyclones and ENSO in seasonal forecasts2212.11422v1 · Robert Doane-Solomon, Daniel Befort, Joanne Camp et al.2022 · 3 citationsarXiv
A Bayesian Approach to Atmospheric Circulation Regime Assignment2206.11576v2 · Swinda K.J. Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer et al.2022 · 6 citationsarXiv
Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill in 2-Year Global Reforecasts Over the 20th Century.35859720 · Weisheimer, Antje, Balmaseda, Magdalena A, Stockdale, Tim N et al.2022 · 29 citationsGeophysical research letters. 2022;49(10):e2022GL097885
Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability.34845022 · Leach, Nicholas J, Weisheimer, Antje, Allen, Myles R et al.2021 · 61 citationsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2021;118(49)
Detection of Interannual Ensemble Forecast Signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using Atmospheric Circulation Regimesx5f026 · Swinda Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer et al.2021 · 1 citationEarthArXiv
Revisiting the Identification of Wintertime Atmospheric Circulation Regimes in the Euro-Atlantic Sector1912.10838v3 · Swinda K.J. Falkena, Jana de Wiljes, Antje Weisheimer et al.2019 · 41 citationsarXiv
Predicting El Niño in 2014 and 2015.30013235 · Ineson, Sarah, Balmaseda, Magdalena A, Davey, Michael K et al.2019 · 25 citationsScientific reports. 2018;8(1):10733
Seasonal to annual ocean forecasting skill and the role of model and observational uncertainty.31031424 · Juricke, Stephan, MacLeod, Dave, Weisheimer, Antje et al.2023 · 28 citationsQuarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Royal Meteorological Society (Great Britain). 2018;144(715):1947-1964
Atmospheric seasonal forecasts of the twentieth century: multi-decadal variability in predictive skill of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their potential value for extreme event attribution.31413423 · Weisheimer, Antje, Schaller, Nathalie, O'Reilly, Christopher et al.2020 · 152 citationsQuarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Royal Meteorological Society (Great Britain). 2017;143(703):917-926
Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of Weather and Climate Models1510.08682v2 · Judith Berner, Ulrich Achatz, Lauriane Batte et al.2015 · 414 citationsarXivon Valency
Oceanic stochastic parametrizations in a seasonal forecast system1506.09181v1 · M. Andrejczuk, F. C. Cooper, S. Juricke et al.2015 · 28 citationsarXivon Valency
Impact of hindcast length on estimates of seasonal climate predictability.26074651 · Shi, W, Schaller, N, MacLeod, D et al.2019 · 51 citationsGeophysical research letters. 2015;42(5):1554-1559
Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system.24842026 · Weisheimer, Antje, Corti, Susanna, Palmer, Tim et al.2014 · 100 citationsPhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences. 2014;372(2018):20130290
On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts.24789559 · Weisheimer, A, Palmer, T N2014 · 344 citationsJournal of the Royal Society, Interface. 2014;11(96):20131162
Towards the Probabilistic Earth-System Model0812.1074v3 · T.N. Palmer, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer et al.2008 · 8 citationsarXiv
Impact of a quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and seasonal prediction skill of a global climate model.18445570 · Berner, J, Doblas-Reyes, F J, Palmer, T N et al.2008 · 89 citationsPhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences. 2008;366(1875):2561-79
Probabilistic prediction of climate using multi-model ensembles: from basics to applications.16433088 · Palmer, T N, Doblas-Reyes, F J, Hagedorn, R et al.2006 · 156 citationsPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences. 2005;360(1463):1991-8
Career total: 237 works. 23 are in this corpus.
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