MG
Michael Ghil
nlin.CDphysics.ao-phphysics.geo-phmath.DScond-mat.stat-mechphysics.data-anchao-dynClimatemath.CAmath.MP
On Valency
published · living versionsW_mp3gsjzk·v1 · currentpublished
Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties
with Mickaël D. Chekroun, Eric Simonnet
1 version
W_f5bwjcgv·v1published
Preprints & journals
63 papers in the corpus · 1993–2026Clarifying tipping terminology2610.14930v2 · Niklas Boers, Robert E. Kopp, Peter Ashwin et al.2026 · 0 citationsarXiv
Introduction to Double Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamical systems in the sciences.42550957 · Ashwin, Peter, Feudel, Ulrike, Ghil, Michael2026 · 0 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2026;36(8)
A stable hothouse triggered by a tipping mechanism.42312710 · Chavez, Erik, Rombouts, Jan, Ghil, Michael2026 · 0 citationsPhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences. 2026;384(2322)
Introduction to Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamical systems: Theory, methods, and applications.41920081 · Ashwin, Peter, Feudel, Ulrike, Ghil, Michael et al.2026 · 2 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2026;36(4)
Introduction to the Focus Issue: Nonautonomous dynamics in the climate sciences.41979441 · Crisan, Dan, Galatolo, Stefano, Ghil, Michael et al.2026 · 0 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2026;36(4)
Topological modes of variability of the wind-driven ocean circulation.40920106 · Charó, Gisela D, Sciamarella, Denisse, Ruiz, Juan et al.2025 · 2 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2025;35(9)
Forecast error growth: A dynamic-stochastic model.40632017 · Bach, Eviatar, Crisan, Dan, Ghil, Michael2025 · 0 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2025;35(7)
Exponential stability for a forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics.40338944 · Crisan, Dan, Ghil, Michael, Nuckchady, Rohan2025 · 1 citationChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2025;35(5)
Intraseasonal atmospheric variability under climate trends.40358379 · Maraldi, B, Dijkstra, H A, Ghil, M2025 · 8 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2025;35(5)
The South Atlantic Dipole via multichannel singular spectrum analysis.38969750 · Manta, Gaston, Bach, Eviatar, Talento, Stefanie et al.2024 · 5 citationsScientific reports. 2024;14(1):15534
Improved subseasonal prediction of South Asian monsoon rainfall using data-driven forecasts of oscillatory modes.38557185 · Bach, Eviatar, Krishnamurthy, V, Mote, Safa et al.2024 · 25 citationsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2024;121(15):e2312573121
Random templex encodes topological tipping points in noise-driven chaotic dynamics.37903408 · Charó, Gisela D, Ghil, Michael, Sciamarella, Denisse2023 · 17 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2023;33(10)
Climate, zoonosis, and interdisciplinarity.37703298 · Ghil, Michael2024 · 1 citationProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2023;120(39):e2311575120
The PaleoJump database for abrupt transitions in past climates.36934110 · Bagniewski, Witold, Rousseau, Denis-Didier, Ghil, Michael2023 · 14 citationsScientific reports. 2023;13(1):4472
Asymptotic behavior of the forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics.36859194 · Crisan, Dan, Ghil, Michael2023 · 5 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2023;33(2):023139
PaleoJump: A database for abrupt transitions in past climates2206.06832v1 · Witold Bagniewski, Denis-Didier Rousseau, Michael Ghil2022 · 1 citationarXiv
Author Correction: Tipping points induced by parameter drift in an excitable ocean model.35585180 · Pierini, Stefano, Ghil, Michael2022 · 2 citationsScientific reports. 2022;12(1):8303
A multi-model ensemble Kalman filter for data assimilation and forecasting2202.02272v2 · Eviatar Bach, Michael Ghil2022 · 43 citationsJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15(1), 2023, e2022MS003123
Automatic detection of abrupt transitions in paleoclimate records.34881579 · Bagniewski, W, Ghil, M, Rousseau, D D2021 · 51 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2021;31(11):113129
Noise-driven topological changes in chaotic dynamics.34717329 · Charó, Gisela D, Chekroun, Mickaël D, Sciamarella, Denisse et al.2021 · 35 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2021;31(10):103115
Tipping points induced by parameter drift in an excitable ocean model.34045519 · Pierini, Stefano, Ghil, Michael2021 · 35 citationsScientific reports. 2021;11(1):11126
Reduced-order models for coupled dynamical systems: Data-driven methods and the Koopman operator.34240957 · Santos Gutiérrez, Manuel, Lucarini, Valerio, Chekroun, Mickaël D et al.2021 · 45 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2021;31(5):053116
Extratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: A reduced-order coupled model study2103.00517v1 · St'ephane Vannitsem, Jonathan Demaeyer, Michael Ghil2021 · 11 citationsarXiv
Ranking IPCC Models Using the Wasserstein Distance2006.09304v2 · Gabriele Vissio, Valerio Lembo, Valerio Lucarini et al.2020 · 3 citationsarXiv
The Physics of Climate Variability and Climate Change1910.00583v2 · Michael Ghil, Valerio Lucarini2019 · 418 citationsRev. Mod. Phys. 92, 35002 (2020)
Arnold maps with noise: Differentiability and non-monotonicity of the rotation number1904.11744v4 · L. Marangio, J. Sedro, S. Galatolo et al.2019 · 34 citationsarXiv
Ocean circulation, ice shelf, and sea ice interactions explain Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles.30385629 · Boers, Niklas, Ghil, Michael, Rousseau, Denis-Didier2019 · 143 citationsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2018;115(47):E11005-E11014
Economic networks: Heterogeneity-induced vulnerability and loss of synchronization.29289034 · Colon, Célian, Ghil, Michael2018 · 29 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2017;27(12):126703
Synchronization of world economic activity.29289036 · Groth, Andreas, Ghil, Michael2018 · 25 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2017;27(12):127002
Introduction to focus issue: Synchronization in large networks and continuous media-data, models, and supermodels.29289046 · Duane, Gregory S, Grabow, Carsten, Selten, Frank et al.2018 · 14 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2017;27(12):126601
Estimating model evidence using ensemble-based data assimilation with localization - The model selection problem1709.06635v2 · Sammy Metref, Alexis Hannart, Juan Ruiz et al.2017 · 19 citationsarXiv
Publisher's Note: Comment on "Nonparametric forecasting of low-dimensional dynamical systems" [Phys. Rev. E 93, 036201 (2016)].27627432 · Kondrashov, Dmitri, Chekroun, Mickaël D, Ghil, Michael2019 · 0 citationsPhysical review. E. 2016;94(2-2):029904
Estimating model evidence using data assimilation1605.01526v2 · Alberto Carrassi, Marc Bocquet, Alexis Hannart et al.2016 · 47 citationsarXiv
Comment on "Nonparametric forecasting of low-dimensional dynamical systems ".27078490 · Kondrashov, Dmitri, Chekroun, Mickaël D, Ghil, Michael2016 · 1 citationPhysical review. E. 2016;93(3):036201
Pathogens trigger top-down climate forcing on ecosystem dynamics.26910776 · Edeline, Eric, Groth, Andreas, Cazelles, Bernard et al.2017 · 10 citationsOecologia. 2016;181(2):519-32
Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes.32025471 · von der Heydt, Anna S, Dijkstra, Henk A, van de Wal, Roderik S W et al.2024 · 62 citationsCurrent climate change reports. 2016;2(4):148-158
Singular Spectrum Analysis for astronomical time series: constructing a parsimonious hypothesis test1509.03342v1 · G. Greco, D. Kondrashov, S. Kobayashi et al.2015 · 8 citationsarXiv
Low-Dimensional Galerkin Approximations of Nonlinear Delay Differential Equations1509.02945v1 · Mickael D. Chekroun, Michael Ghil, Honghu Liu et al.2015 · 28 citationsarXiv
Low-frequency variability and heat transport in a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model1412.0621v3 · St'ephane Vannitsem, Jonathan Demaeyer, Lesley De Cruz et al.2014 · 48 citationsPhysica D 309 (2015) 71-85
Data-driven non-Markovian closure models1411.4700v1 · Dmitri Kondrashov, Mickael D. Chekroun, Michael Ghil2014 · 137 citationsarXiv
Rough parameter dependence in climate models and the role of Ruelle-Pollicott resonances.24443553 · Chekroun, Mickaël David, Neelin, J David, Kondrashov, Dmitri et al.2014 · 85 citationsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2014;111(5):1684-90
Multivariate singular spectrum analysis and the road to phase synchronization.22060474 · Groth, Andreas, Ghil, Michael2012 · 132 citationsPhysical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics. 2011;84(3 Pt 2):036206
Predicting stochastic systems by noise sampling, and application to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation.21730171 · Chekroun, Mickaël David, Kondrashov, Dmitri, Ghil, Michael2011 · 95 citationsProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2011;108(29):11766-71
Climate dynamics and fluid mechanics: Natural variability and related uncertainties1006.2864v1 · Michael Ghil, Mickael D. Chekroun, Eric Simonnet2010 · 233 citationsPhysica D: Nonlinear phenomena, Special Issue on The Euler Equations: 250 Years On, {\bf 237}(2008), 2111--2126on Valency
Averaging of time-periodic systems without a small parameter1006.2789v1 · Mickael D. Chekroun, Michael Ghil, Jean Roux et al.2010 · 7 citationsDiscrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems, Ser. A, {\bf 14}(4), (2006) 753-782
Boolean delay equations on networks: An application to economic damage propagation1003.0793v1 · B. Coluzzi, M. Ghil, S. Hallegatte et al.2010 · 2 citationsInternational Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 21, (2011) 3511-3548
Another Look at Climate Sensitivity1003.0253v1 · Ilya Zaliapin, Michael Ghil2010 · 37 citationsNonlin. Proc. Geophys., 17, 113-122, 2010
A delay differential model of ENSO variability, Part 2: Phase locking, multiple solutions, and dynamics of extrema1003.0028v1 · Ilya Zaliapin, Michael Ghil2010 · 18 citationsNonlin. Procecces Geophys., 17, 123-135, 2010on Valency
Fixed points, stable manifolds, weather regimes, and their predictability.20059205 · Deremble, Bruno, D'Andrea, Fabio, Ghil, Michael2010 · 8 citationsChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.). 2009;19(4):043109
French Roadmap for complex Systems 2008-20090907.2221v1 · Paul Bourgine (ed.), David Chavalarias (ed.), Edith Perrier (ed.) et al.2009 · 16 citationsarXiv
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