KP
Klaus Prettner
Cost of Illnessecon.GNEconomic burdenGlobal Healthq-fin.ECChinacs.AICOVID-19Health ExpendituresHealth policy
On Valency
published · living versionsW_33mxappb·v1 · currentpublished
The Economics of p(doom): Scenarios of Existential Risk and Economic Growth in the Age of Transformative AI
with Jakub Growiec
1 version
Preprints & journals
32 papers in the corpus · 2017–2026Global economic burden attributable to asthma, 2025-50: a global modelling analysis of 154 countries and territories.42520825 · Cao, Zhong, Tong, Xunliang, Zheng, Zhoutao et al.2026 · 1 citationThe Lancet. Respiratory medicine. 2026;14(10):859-868
Estimating the economic burden of Parkinson's disease in China, 2020-2040: a projection and health-augmented macroeconomic modelling study.42680628 · Luo, Yuheng, Zhong, Xue, Cao, Zhong et al.2026 · 0 citationsScience bulletin. 2026;71(18):4780-4789
Global economic burden of depression in 154 countries from 2025 to 2050.42521818 · Cao, Zhong, Luo, Yuheng, Jiao, Lirui et al.2026 · 1 citationNature medicine. 2026;32(9):3406-3416
Redistributive Policies for the Times of Transformative AI2609.14750v1 · Jakub Growiec, Klaus Prettner, Maciej Szkr'obka2026 · 0 citationsarXiv
The Economics of p(doom): Scenarios of Existential Risk and Economic Growth in the Age of Transformative AI2503.07341v2 · Jakub Growiec, Klaus Prettner2025 · 1 citationarXivon Valency
Estimating the economic burden of lower respiratory infections in China from 2020 to 2040: a health-augmented macroeconomic modelling study.42027605 · Lin, Yue, Sun, Hexi, Cao, Zhong et al.2026 · 0 citationsThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific. 2026;69:101855
Workers' Incentives and the Optimal Taxation of AI2603.17898v1 · Jakub Growiec, Klaus Prettner, Maciej Szkr'obka2026 · 2 citationsarXivon Valency
Heart failure in China: a macroeconomic modelling study of intervention strategies.41355346 · Wang, Hua, Zhou, Huiyi, Chai, Ke et al.2026 · 8 citationsEuropean heart journal. 2026;47(8):974-984
Population changes and demographic dividends.41602503 · Bloom, David E, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus2026 · 1 citationBulletin of the World Health Organization. 2026;104(2):134-136
The global macroeconomic burden of diabetes mellitus.41466063 · Chen, Simiao, Cao, Zhong, Chen, Wenjin et al.2026 · 45 citationsNature medicine. 2026;32(1):126-138
The Paradox of Doom: Acknowledging Extinction Risk Reduces the Incentive to Prevent It2509.04855v1 · Jakub Growiec, Klaus Prettner2025 · 0 citationsarXiv
Health and Economic Growth: Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence.38463754 · Bloom, David E, Canning, David, Kotschy, Rainer et al.2025 · 135 citationsWorld development. 2024;178
The Burden and Impact of Intervention Strategies for Heart Failure in China (2025-2035): A Health-Augmented Macroeconomic Modeling Study10.1101/2025.04.04.25325219v1 · wang, h., zhou, h., Chai, K. et al.2025 · 4 citationsmedRxiv
Revisiting the association between temperature and COVID-19 transmissibility across 117 countries.33263060 · Chen, Simiao, Prettner, Klaus, Cao, Bin et al.2024 · 22 citationsERJ open research. 2020;6(4)
The global macroeconomic burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias: estimates and projections for 152 countries or territories.39151988 · Chen, Simiao, Cao, Zhong, Nandi, Arindam et al.2024 · 268 citationsThe Lancet. Global health. 2024;12(9):e1534-e1543
Declining fertility and economic well-being: do education and health ride to the rescue?26388677 · Prettner, Klaus, Bloom, David E, Strulik, Holger2024 · 81 citationsLabour economics. 2013;22:70-79
Artificial intelligence and the skill premium2311.09255v1 · David E. Bloom, Klaus Prettner, Jamel Saadaoui et al.2023 · 31 citationsarXiv
The global economic burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease for 204 countries and territories in 2020-50: a health-augmented macroeconomic modelling study.37474226 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus et al.2023 · 495 citationsThe Lancet. Global health. 2023;11(8):e1183-e1193
Estimates and Projections of the Global Economic Cost of 29 Cancers in 204 Countries and Territories From 2020 to 2050.36821107 · Chen, Simiao, Cao, Zhong, Prettner, Klaus et al.2023 · 901 citationsJAMA oncology. 2023;9(4):465-472
Beyond GDP: Using healthy lifetime income to trace well-being over time with estimates for 193 countries.36681057 · Zhang, Junlai, Prettner, Klaus, Chen, Simiao et al.2023 · 10 citationsSocial science & medicine (1982). 2023;320:115674
The economic burden of COVID-19 in the United States: Estimates and projections under an infection-based herd immunity approach.34123719 · Chen, Simiao, Prettner, Klaus, Kuhn, Michael et al.2022 · 43 citationsJournal of the economics of ageing. 2021;20:100328
Population aging and endogenous economic growth.23576847 · Prettner, Klaus2022 · 247 citationsJournal of population economics. 2013;26(2):811-834
Macro-level efficiency of health expenditure: Estimates for 15 major economies.34482274 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus et al.2021 · 36 citationsSocial science & medicine (1982). 2021;287:114270
Climate and the spread of COVID-19.33907202 · Chen, Simiao, Prettner, Klaus, Kuhn, Michael et al.2021 · 133 citationsScientific reports. 2021;11(1):9042
Noncommunicable Diseases Attributable To Tobacco Use In China: Macroeconomic Burden And Tobacco Control Policies.31682483 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus et al.2020 · 52 citationsHealth affairs (Project Hope). 2019;38(11):1832-1839
Tobacco Control Policies: The Authors Reply.32011935 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus2020 · 2 citationsHealth affairs (Project Hope). 2020;39(2):346
The global macroeconomic burden of road injuries: estimates and projections for 166 countries.31538624 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus et al.2020 · 662 citationsThe Lancet. Planetary health. 2019;3(9):e390-e398
COVID-19 and climate: global evidence from 117 countries10.1101/2020.06.04.20121863v1 · Chen, S., Prettner, K., Kuhn, M. et al.2020 · 17 citationsmedRxiv
The macroeconomic burden of noncommunicable diseases in the United States: Estimates and projections.30383802 · Chen, Simiao, Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus et al.2019 · 157 citationsPloS one. 2018;13(11):e0206702
Valuing health as development: going beyond gross domestic product.30352788 · Fan, Victoria Y, Bloom, David E, Ogbuoji, Osondu et al.2019 · 31 citationsBMJ (Clinical research ed.). 2018;363:k4371
Growth and welfare effects of health care in knowledge-based economies.26918295 · Kuhn, Michael, Prettner, Klaus2017 · 62 citationsJournal of health economics. 2016;46:100-19
Career total: 277 works. 32 are in this corpus.Showing the 31 most recent.
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