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Quasipolynomial Bounds for Arithmetic Progressions

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Abstract

We prove Erdős's conjecture that every set of positive integers with divergent reciprocal sum contains arithmetic progressions of every finite length. More quantitatively, for every fixed k ≥ 3, we show rk(N)≤CkNexp⁡(−ck(log⁡N)εk)\displaystyle r_k(N)\le C_kN\exp\bigl(-c_k(\log N)^{\varepsilon_k}\bigr) with Ck,ck,εk>0C_k,c_k,\varepsilon_k\gt 0, where rk(N)r_k(N) is the largest size of a subset of {1,…,N}\{1,\ldots,N\} with no nonconstant k-term arithmetic progression.

Introduction

Erdős asked whether every set AA of positive integers for which ∑a∈A1/a\sum_{a\in A} 1/a diverges contains arithmetic progressions of every finite length [14]. We prove a quantitative density bound that implies this assertion. For integers k≥3k \ge3 and N≥1N \ge1, let rk(N)r_k(N) be the largest cardinality of a subset of [N]={1,…,N}[N] = \{1,\ldots,N\} containing no nonconstant kk-term arithmetic progression a,a+d,…,a+(k−1)da,a+d,\ldots,a+(k-1)d, with d>0d>0. All logarithms are natural.

Theorem 1.1. For each fixed integer k≥3k \ge3 there are constants Ck,ck,εk>0C_k,c_k,\varepsilon_k>0 such that, for every N≥2N \ge2,

rk(N)≤CkNexp⁡(−ck(log⁡N)εk).r_k(N) \le C_kN\exp\left(-c_k(\log N)^{\varepsilon_k}\right).

Equivalently, there is Ak≥1A_k \ge1 such that an α\alpha-dense subset of [N][N] contains a nonconstant kk-term progression whenever

log⁡N≥Ak(2+log⁡(1/α))Ak,0<α≤1.\log N \ge A_k(2+\log(1/\alpha))^{A_k}, \qquad0<\alpha\le1.

The constants may depend on the fixed length kk; the exponent is not optimized. The reciprocal-sum consequence follows immediately from summing the density bound over dyadic intervals.

Corollary 1.2 (Divergent reciprocal sums). Every set A⊆NA\subseteq\mathbb{N} with ∑a∈Aa−1=∞\sum_{a\in A}a^{-1}=\infty contains nonconstant arithmetic progressions of every finite length.

Proof. Fix k≥3k\ge3, and suppose that AA contains no nonconstant kk-term progression. For m≥0m\ge0, translation identifies [2m,2m+1)∩Z[2^m,2^{m+1})\cap\mathbb{Z} with an interval of length 2m2^m. Thus ∣A∩[2m,2m+1)∣≤rk(2m)|A\cap[2^m,2^{m+1})|\le r_k(2^m). Theorem 1.1 implies, for m≥1m\ge1,

∑a∈A∩[2m,2m+1)1a≤2−mrk(2m)≤Ckexp⁡(−ck(mlog⁡2)εk).\sum_{a\in A\cap[2^m,2^{m+1})}\frac{1}{a}\le2^{-m}r_k(2^m)\le C_k\exp\left(-c_k(m\log2)^{\varepsilon_k}\right).

For every d,ε>0d,\varepsilon>0, the sequence e−dmεe^{-dm^\varepsilon} is summable: since mε/log⁡m→∞m^\varepsilon/\log m\to\infty, its terms are at most m−2m^{-2} for all sufficiently large mm. The m=0m=0 interval contributes at most one. The reciprocal sum of AA is therefore finite, a contradiction. Divergence also implies that AA is infinite, which supplies lengths one and two. ▫

Density thresholds and summability

The threshold in (1.2) is quasipolynomial in 1/α1/\alpha: the logarithm of a sufficient interval length is a fixed power of 2+log⁡(1/α)2+\log(1/\alpha). The inversion between the two forms of Theorem 1.1, including the endpoints, is proved in Section 10.

The infinite-set consequence depends on more than a density tending to zero. Divergence of a reciprocal sum allows zero-density sets, and the qualitative estimate rk(N)=o(N)r_k(N)=o(N) does not by itself settle Erdős’s question. The proof of Corollary 1.2 uses the stronger condition

∑m≥1rk(2m)2m<∞.\sum_{m\ge1}\frac{r_k(2^m)}{2^m}<\infty.

Our bound also gives a stronger divergence criterion: for every fixed B≥0B\ge0, a set A⊆NA\subseteq\mathbb{N} satisfying

∑a∈A(log⁡(2+a))Ba=∞\sum_{a\in A}\frac{(\log(2+a))^B}{a}=\infty

contains progressions of every finite length. Section 11 proves this criterion, uniform harmonic bounds and tails, and estimates for larger weights whose parameters depend on kk. It also recovers the theorem of Green and Tao that every subset of the primes of positive relative upper density contains infinitely many progressions of every finite length [21].

Prior density bounds

Van der Waerden’s theorem concerns a partition: every finite coloring of the positive integers has a monochromatic arithmetic progression of each finite length [47]. The density problem asks for a condition on a prescribed set. Erdős and Turán began the study of the corresponding extremal functions in 1936 and explicitly conjectured that r3(N)=o(N)r_3(N)=o(N) [15]. The all-length positive-density conjecture appears explicitly in Erdős’s later account [13]. Roth proved the three-term case by Fourier-analytic methods [39]; Szemerédi proved the four-term case in 1969 and the general theorem in 1975 [44, 45]. Furstenberg’s subsequent proof recast the assertion as multiple recurrence in a measure-preserving system [16]. The reciprocal-sum conjecture extends this density problem to sparser sets, including the primes [14].

For three terms, successive quantitative advances sharpened Roth’s density-increment method: a shortage of progressions forces a density increase on a smaller structured set. Roth obtained r3(N)≪N/log⁡log⁡Nr_3(N)\ll N/\log\log N. Heath-Brown and Szemerédi replaced the double logarithm by a positive power of log⁡N\log N [26, 46], and Bourgain developed density increments on regular Bohr sets [9, 10]. Sanders reached r3(N)≪N/(log⁡N)1−o(1)r_3(N)\ll N/(\log N)^{1-o(1)}, and Bloom improved the remaining logarithmic factors [41, 4].

Bloom and Sisask gave an almost-periodicity approach to this near-logarithmic range [5]. Their later bound r3(N)≪N/(log⁡N)1+cr_3(N)\ll N/(\log N)^{1+c}, for an absolute c>0c>0, crossed the dyadic summability threshold and established the three-term reciprocal-sum conjecture [6].

Kelley and Meka obtained the stronger bound

r3(N)≪Nexp⁡(−c(log⁡N)1/12)r_3(N)\ll N\exp\left(-c(\log N)^{1/12}\right)

by combining positivity, dependent-random-choice sifting and almost-periodicity to control the loss in a density increment [30]. Bloom and Sisask simplified the argument and then improved the exponent to 1/91/9 [8, 7]. Raghavan subsequently obtained r3(N)≤Nexp⁡(−(log⁡N)1/6−o(1))r_3(N)\le N\exp\left(-(\log N)^{1/6-o(1)}\right) [38]. These refinements concern three terms. On the lower-bound side, Behrend’s construction already gives r3(N)≥Nexp⁡(−Clog⁡N)r_3(N) \ge N\exp(-C\sqrt{\log N}), so a fixed power saving in NN is impossible even in this case [1].

Gowers’s approach to longer progressions detects higher-order structure. He introduced the uniformity norms that control progression counts and extended density increments beyond linear Fourier analysis [17, 18]. His general theorem gives rk(N)≪kN/(log⁡log⁡N)ckr_k(N) \ll_k N/(\log\log N)^{c_k} for every fixed kk, with ck>0c_k > 0. Green and Tao obtained r4(N)≪N/(log⁡N)1/11r_4(N) \ll N/(\log N)^{1/11} [24]. Leng, Sah and Sawhney first treated five terms and then proved, for every fixed k≥5k \ge5,

rk(N)≪kNexp⁡(−(log⁡log⁡N)ck),0<ck<1r_k(N) \ll_k N\exp\left(-(\log\log N)^{c_k}\right), \qquad0 < c_k < 1

[33, 34]. Their general argument combines a quasipolynomial inverse theorem with density increments. The inverse theorem controls the structured correlation obtained from a large uniformity norm; the cost of localizing and iterating that correlation remains a separate issue. The resulting saving in log⁡log⁡N\log\log N does not give the dyadic summability above.

Theorem 1.1 gives a stretched-exponential saving in log⁡N\log N for every fixed length. Its contribution to Erdős’s conjecture is this all-length, summable bound; no improvement of the three-term exponent is claimed. We next explain the quantitative constraint on the density-increment regions that allows the argument to be iterated at this scale.

Preserving structure through density increments

A fixed multiplicative density gain can be applied only Ok(1+log⁡(1/α))O_k(1+\log(1/\alpha)) times before the density exceeds one. To obtain Theorem 1.1, the total logarithmic loss of interval length over these increments must be polynomial in 2+log⁡(1/α)2+\log(1/\alpha). We therefore need to control both the number of coordinates describing each new region and the precision of the constraints inherited from previous regions.

The regions are triangular polynomial cells. A spatial integer variable uu determines integer blocks b1,…,bDb_1,\ldots,b_D successively through constraints of the form

∥bh−Ch(u,b1,…,bh−1)−lh∥∞≤wh,1≤h≤D,0<wh≤1/32.\lVert b_h-C_h(u,b_1,\ldots,b_{h-1})-l_h\rVert_\infty\le w_h,\qquad1\le h\le D,\qquad0<w_h\le1/32.

Here DD depends only on kk, each lhl_h is a fixed center, and ChC_h is a polynomial. The spatial variable has weight one, the block bhb_h has weight hh, and ChC_h has weighted degree at most hh. The narrow widths make each integer block unique when it exists. Keeping these integer blocks, and substituting them exactly into all later polynomials, preserves the equations defining the old region when a new constraint is added. No bound on the coefficients of the ChC_h is imposed.

Write Qh=log⁡(2/wh)Q_h=\log(2/w_h) for the precision at weight hh. The main increment theorem bounds the additional precision at weight hh by a polynomial in the dimension data, the logarithmic density parameter, and the precisions at strictly higher weights. In particular, this bound does not use the current QhQ_h or the lower precisions. The dimensions obey an analogous descending recurrence. Since the number DD of weights is fixed, descending induction bounds all dimensions and precisions by polynomials through the required number of increments. Section 2 states these recurrences precisely; Section 10 proves that the construction satisfies them.

Two different arguments supply these bounds. The first produces an absolute increment for a [0,1][0,1]-valued function on an integer box with sufficiently long sides. The function must have positive mean and contain no nonconstant kk-term progression in its support. The increment adds only a number of determining coordinates polynomial in the logarithmic inverse mean, independently of the dimension of that box. The second returns such an increment from a sampled box to the original cell, preserving the old determining equations and the descending dependence of their width losses.

An absolute increment with uncontrolled dependence on the old widths would not suffice for this second task.

The absolute increment. The higher-order inverse theorem converts a large uniformity norm into correlation with a nilsequence, a Lipschitz function evaluated along a polynomial orbit on a compact nilmanifold. This description of structured correlations has both ergodic and additive-combinatorial origins. Host and Kra developed seminorms and nilsystem characteristic factors, Ziegler proved the universal-factor theorem, and Bergelson, Host and Kra isolated nilsequences in multiple correlations [27, 48, 2]. Green and Tao obtained locally quadratic structure for the U3U^{3} norm [20]; Green, Tao and Ziegler then proved the all-degree interval inverse theorem [25]. Manners gave explicit quantitative inverse bounds on prime cyclic groups [36]. The stronger quasipolynomial bounds of Leng, Sah and Sawhney are the interval input used here [35], Theorem 1.2; the appendices prove the box and product-cyclic reductions needed in the argument.

To pass from structured tests to positive progression counting, we prove a shift-comparison theorem: lowering the testing degree permits multiplication by a translated nonnegative function outside a small exceptional set of shifts. Its degree-one argument adapts Kelley–Meka unbalancing and sifting, as developed on Bohr sets by Bloom and Sisask [30, 8]. The almost-periodicity input is Schoen–Sisask’s Theorem 5.4 [43]. It combines the probabilistic method of Croot and Sisask with Sanders’s local control of large spectra [12, 40]; see also Sanders’s Bogolyubov–Ruzsa theorem [42]. The Schoen–Sisask radius bound retains the incoming radius as a multiplicative factor, which is essential for the shift comparison.

Higher-degree comparison requires control of polynomial orbits. Leibman established a qualitative distribution theorem [31]. Green and Tao made this theory quantitative and factored polynomial orbits into smooth, equidistributed and rational components [23]. Leng’s efficient estimates reduce the nilpotency step rather than repeatedly reducing the dimension [32]. We use this mechanism, together with the inverse theorem, to remove top-degree frequencies in the comparison argument. The appendices prove the required forms with explicit dependence on all growing dimensions and parameter counts.

The comparison and counting arguments first give the absolute rule in a fixed dimension. A relative lifting theorem extends it with only an additive number of new determining coordinates. Applied with the constant old region, this yields the dimension-independent fresh-coordinate bound in Lemma 2.2. This foundational lifting argument supplies the absolute rule; preservation of the old width budgets requires the separate return argument.

Returning to the original cell. A density increment found on a sampled parameter box must be expressed again in the original variables. The cell can have very small mass, and an error in one of its determining integers would enter every later polynomial that uses that integer. The return therefore keeps the old equations exact.

For tests of degree below the current layer weight, we use a cube version of Conlon–Fox–Zhao densification to replace sparse factors by bounded ones before applying inverse theory [11]. The comparison proved here has bounds independent of that layer’s chart mass. At layers where the testing degree is at least the layer weight, polynomial families retain the old equations through an exact projection while allowing the newly added region to have higher degree. Preparation, ascent and extraction then control the relative loss of each width by structural data and higher-weight precision budgets. The general route from inverse theory to density increments is classical [22]; retaining this dependence through the return is the quantitative issue addressed here.

Coloring thresholds

Let Wr(k)W_r(k) be the least integer NN such that every coloring of [N][N] with rr colors contains a monochromatic nonconstant kk-term arithmetic progression. A largest color class has density at least 1/r1/r, so Theorem 1.1 gives

Wr(k)≤⌈exp⁡(Ak(2+log⁡r)Ak)⌉(r≥1),W_r(k) \le\left\lceil\exp\left(A_k(2+\log r)^{A_k}\right) \right\rceil\qquad(r \ge1),

after increasing AkA_k. Thus, for fixed kk, the sufficient length is quasipolynomial in the number of colors. The companion paper [37], Theorem 7.2 gives the complementary lower bound Wr(k)>exp⁡((log⁡r)2/(64log⁡2))W_r(k) > \exp((\log r)^2/(64\log2)) for all integers r≥256r \ge256 and k≥3k \ge3. Together these estimates show that for each fixed k≥3k \ge3, growth in the number of colors is superpolynomial but at most quasipolynomial. The upper constant and exponent may depend on kk.

How to read the proof

Section 2 defines the cells and precision budgets, states the triangular increment theorem, and explains the dimension-independent absolute rule. Figure 3 gives the main route, and Table 1 identifies the analytic statements and their full proofs. Section 3 constructs the constrained path law and states its sampling guarantees. Section 4 prepares the cell by rank cuts, and Section 5 proves the detection bound independent of the current width. Section 6 transfers the certificate to terminal boxes and obtains an absolute increment. Section 7 sets up its return, develops the comparison estimates, and handles the passive layers. Section 8 treats the active layers. Section 9 extracts the next cell, and Section 10 closes the recurrences and proves Theorem 1.1. Section 11 establishes the weighted consequences.

The main proof route shown as a flowchart

Figure 3. The main proof route. Preparation and extraction preserve the triangular dependence of the width losses; the absolute increment controls the number of fresh determining coordinates.

InputResult usedFull statement and proof
A bounded function with large cube normCorrelation with a controlled niltest; interval input and local box/product-cyclic reductionsTheorem A.7
A biased top-degree niltestSlow–structured–rational symbol decomposition, with all parameter dimensions included in the budgetLemma B.1
Positive comparison against degree-dd testsUniform comparison against shifted degree-(d−1)(d-1) tests outside a quantitatively small exceptional setTheorem C.1
A progression-free input on fixed-dimensional prime boxesAn absolute increment and conversion between niltests and patchesProposition D.3; Lemma D.5
High formal rank, with structural choices fixed before precisionOne ensemble satisfying geometry, detection and transfer for the prescribed inputs and accuraciesProposition F.2; proofs in Appendices G and H
A fixed strong projection and exact marked polynomialGlobalization preserving the marked identity with early output boundsProposition I.6
An absolute rule and an old patch of rank ddA relative increment with rank at most d+d0d+d_0, including its separate impossibility clauseProposition D.7; proof in Theorem I.15

Table 1. Analytic inputs to the main proof. Each reference specifies the complete hypotheses and quantitative bounds; the table records the object passed between the statements.

The appendices contain the rational and symbol calculus, shift comparison, progression counting, constrained sampling, cube comparison and relative lifting arguments. The two principal external analytic inputs to the increment proof are the interval inverse theorem of Leng, Sah and Sawhney and the radius-sensitive almost-periodicity theorem of Schoen and Sisask [35, 43]. Their precise hypotheses are stated at the points of application.

Polynomial cells and the increment theorem

Fix k≥3k \ge3 and put s=k−2s = k - 2. We seek density increments on regions that retain every polynomial constraint introduced by an earlier increment. The regions will be triangular polynomial cells. Their integer coordinates are determined successively, and their residual widths are indexed by weight. The central estimate will bound the relative width loss at each weight using only higher-weight widths.

Every degree and descent depth below is fixed in terms of ss; dimensions may grow. A degree bound may be replaced by any fixed larger one. We work on rectangular integer boxes, with uniform probability averages and max norms, allowing dimension factors in norm comparisons. A slice is an integer-affinely reindexed residue subbox. Different coordinate strides are permitted. Its logarithmic cost includes their logarithms and the logarithms of inverse relative side lengths. Sufficient lower bounds on the original sides absorb all endpoint rounding errors. A function is progression-free when its support contains no nonconstant integer-vector kk-term progression.

Precision conventions

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