Searching for Semi-relativistic Hypervelocity Stars with the Euclid and Roman Space Telescopes
Abstract
In 2015 we predicted that mergers of massive black hole (MBH) binaries launch stars into intergalactic space at – (–), and that hundreds of these semi-relativistic hypervelocity stars (SHS) would be detectable in infrared surveys. No searches so far have revealed any such stars. We revisit the prediction in light of two developments. First, during hardening is now established by simulations: circumbinary disks settle at – rather than circularizing, while retrograde disks pump toward . Pulsar timing arrays prefer a low-frequency turnover from environmental coupling, of which stellar slingshots are one leading interpretation. Second, the ejection speed depends almost entirely on the periapse, , independent of primary mass except for tides. At fixed semimajor axis, raises by ; by . Euclid and Roman both provide near-infrared imaging that yields photometric candidates, and slitless grism spectroscopy that verifies the bright tail. Euclid’s Wide Survey yields photometric detections at over ; Roman’s High-Latitude Wide-Area Survey goes deeper, yielding –. Continuum detections in the two grisms are at Euclid and at Roman ; a velocity from bandheads is typically – mag brighter, so the surveys yield of order –. A Rubin proper motion in with a Roman photometric distance reaches objects on the HLWAS footprint. A blueshifted photospheric spectrum would verify an SHS; a proper motion large for that distance, with no parallax, would solidify the identification.
Introduction
Stars ejected by the Hills ([20]) mechanism from the Galactic center reach speeds of a few hundred to km s ([9]; [8]; [26]). In [28] and [18] (hereafter GL15) we pointed out that replacing the single massive black hole with a merging MBH binary removes the limitation that sets this ceiling. A star bound to the secondary is stripped when the secondary’s Hill sphere shrinks below its orbital separation; if the binary is eccentric, the last stars to be released are those most tightly bound, and they leave with asymptotic speeds that can exceed km s () and in principle approach . Because no other astrophysical channel produces unbound stars above km s ([39]; [16]), the detection of even one such object would be a direct diagnostic of an eccentric MBH merger.
We estimated that objects with km s lie within the distance to the Virgo cluster, that roughly one SHS per 100 deg would be detectable in a survey reaching , and that a next-generation wide-field infrared mission would yield tens to hundreds of detections. No searches so far have revealed any such stars.
Euclid is mapping deg over a six-year survey with slitless near-infrared spectroscopy ([14]); the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launched 2026 August 30; the Vera C. Rubin Observatory began its survey in 2026 June and has no astrometric baseline; Gaia DR4 has not yet been released.
The purpose of this paper is to make the case that the search should now be performed, and to specify how candidates can be verified. In §2 we restate the ejection kinematics of GL15 in abbreviated form, reducing them to a single scaling in the binary periapse and quantifying
Corresponding author: James Guillochon
Email: [email protected] the effect of eccentricity on and on counts. In §3 we review the evidence, accumulated since 2015, that MBH binaries are eccentric during the phase that matters. In §4 we explain why the Galactic hypervelocity star null results do not constrain this population. In §5 we give a concrete search: photometric detections in Euclid and Roman imaging, verified by a grism radial velocity, a Rubin or Roman proper motion, or both.
Ejection Speed is Set by the Periapse
We collect the ejection kinematics of [18] into a single scaling with binary periapse, without repeating the scattering experiments. Let the primary and secondary MBHs have masses and , with , and let the binary have semimajor axis and eccentricity , so that its periapse separation is . Stars bound to the secondary are removed when their apoapse exceeds the secondary’s Hill radius evaluated at binary periapse ([18]),
A star released from has orbital speed about the secondary and is ejected with , where the numerical factor accounts for the motion of the secondary at the moment of escape ([39]). Combining these,
where . Equation (2) matches the mean of the [18] experiments, with large scatter from orientation and phase. Numerically,
Equation (3) has three immediate consequences. First, when the periapse is expressed in gravitational radii of the primary, is kinematically independent of : the same periapse in units of yields the same ejection speed for a and a primary. The accessible range of is not. For a solar-type star the tidal radius is . The star’s closest approach to the primary is at , so the innermost bound circular orbit (IBCO; for Schwarzschild) lies outside at that closest approach only for . Below that, the star is disrupted before it can reach the periapse of the fastest ejections: at , and the ceiling is , not . An intact star at around the Galactic-center primary ([17]) lies outside at that mass, an empirical illustration of the same survival cut. Second, the dependence on mass ratio is extremely weak, , so that a factor of ten in changes by only 32%.
The near-coincidence of the cap with the IBCO in fig:1a is a property of ; at the speed is reached at , outside the IBCO, so the two ceilings are independent and their ordering depends on . At the star already orbits the secondary at , so the upper-left corner of fig:1a is where the Newtonian treatment is least trustworthy; the cap is the numerical and special-relativistic ceiling of [18], not a Newtonian limit. A prograde orbit about a rapidly spinning primary moves the IBCO inward toward ([5]), which would raise the kinematic ceiling. Third, once tidal survival is satisfied, depends only on . Reaching requires ; reaching , above which no other channel operates ([39]; [16]), requires .
Eccentricity enters only through , but it enters multiplicatively with the hardening. At a fixed stage of binary evolution,
so raises the ejection speed by and by . Because the velocity distribution is steep, the effect on detectable counts is larger than this suggests. For the differential distribution of the MBH-scattering channel ([41]; [42]) that [18] found to describe the population at several thousand , the cumulative , so the number above any fixed threshold scales as
a factor of at and at . This is a property of , not a multiplier to apply on top of the [18] density, which already assumed . [18] found the slope to steepen at higher velocities, which would only increase these factors.
fig:1a shows as a function of for three hardening stages, for and . Curves are truncated where falls inside the innermost bound circular orbit ([5]) and capped at the speed limit identified in [18]. The figure shows that a binary that has hardened to milliparsec separations reaches the merger-only velocity regime across the range of eccentricities now predicted at hardening.
The Eccentric-Merger Premise Has Strengthened
In GL15, the requirement that a significant fraction of MBH binaries pass through a phase with was the single largest source of uncertainty in the predicted space density. At the time it rested on N-body simulations of unequal-mass binaries embedded in stellar cusps ([6]; [24]; [25]) (the gas-poor channel), while the gas-rich channel was less clear. Both now favor during hardening: stellar scattering still drives eccentricity growth ([24]; [25]; [40]), and circumbinary disks evolve to – (or higher if retrograde) rather than circularizing ([33]; [48]; [43]; [44]).
Gas does not circularize these binaries
High-resolution hydrodynamic simulations of accreting binaries embedded in circumbinary disks now consistently find that the orbit evolves toward a nonzero equilibrium eccentricity rather than toward zero. [48] find for equal-mass binaries, with circularization only for orbits initialized at . [43], in the largest parameter survey performed to date, find that eccentricities evolve to steady-state values that increase with mass ratio and saturate at , and that binaries at their steady-state eccentricity with continue to evolve toward coalescence. [33] found eccentricity growth at and damping at –, the sign change that implies an attractor. [44] find that retrograde disks instead pump eccentricity at every value they simulated (–), with throughout and in Myr at Eddington accretion; such high eccentricities would only raise and, if the merger is plunging, tighten the beaming that concentrates the local population toward a few sources. See [27] for a review.
Gas dynamics need not supply the extreme eccentricities of the fastest ejections. It does mean that gas-rich MBH binaries are now expected to arrive at the hardening phase eccentric, at values straddling the threshold we required, and to remain so while they harden.
Stellar dynamics drives eccentricity growth
The stellar-dynamical channel identified before 2015 remains in place. [24] showed that the secondary’s eccentricity grows through the preferential ejection of stars co-rotating with the binary, with the growth halted only by the discreteness noise of the scattered stars; [6] and [25] found efficient, eccentric coalescence in merging galaxies. Near-equal-mass binaries show only mild eccentricity growth ([40]), so the effect is strongest at intermediate mass ratios, which is the regime that (3) shows to be most favorable, since varies negligibly across it.
Pulsar timing arrays see the ejection process itself
The detection of a nanohertz stochastic gravitational-wave background ([1]) is consistent with a cosmological population of MBH binaries ([2]). More directly relevant here, the measured spectrum shows a preference for a turnover at the lowest observed frequencies, which is naturally produced if the binaries are hardened by environmental coupling before gravitational-wave emission takes over. [11] attribute this turnover specifically to the extraction of orbital energy by three-body slingshot ejection of stars.
The process that the pulsar timing array data appear to require (three-body stellar slingshots that extract orbital energy ([11]; [40])) is the same family of encounters that unbinds stars from merging MBH binaries. That is indirect evidence that MBH binaries eject stars while they harden, not a measurement of the SHS space density.
A caveat on LISA-band eccentricities
[48] predict that binaries entering the LISA band will retain only –. Gravitational-wave emission circularizes the orbit efficiently ([36]), but it does so at separations far smaller than those at which stars are stripped from the secondary’s Hill sphere. The eccentricity relevant to SHS production is that of the hardening phase at – pc ([40]; [44]), not the residual eccentricity at merger. Low LISA-band eccentricities and high hardening-phase eccentricities are entirely compatible, and both are predicted by the same simulations.
Galactic Null Results Do Not Apply
The strongest empirical statements about hypervelocity star production come from Gaia. [31] searched the million DR3 sources with full six-dimensional phase-space information and found no candidate above with reliable six-dimensional kinematics, deriving an ejection rate . [46] identified 600 candidates, obtained ground-based follow-up for 196, found no new hypervelocity star, and constrained the ejection rate for stars above to at . [15] used the absence of candidates to exclude a companion to Sgr A* more massive than within one milliparsec.
These do not bear on the SHS population, for three independent reasons:
Mechanism. [31] and [46] model Hills ejection by a single MBH; [15] consider a possible companion to Sgr A* but constrain it with the same Galactic hypervelocity-star sample. The SHS channel requires an MBH merger. The Milky Way is not undergoing one; indeed [15] conclude that Sgr A* has had no companion more massive than for at least , which is consistent with our framework.
Volume. The Gaia 6D sample is confined to the Galaxy. The SHS population is extragalactic, and in [18] we speculated that if ejections are beamed, the local density may originate from a couple of mergers, illustrated with an event in M87. We predicted only objects with within of the Milky Way, and those are predominantly low-mass dwarfs requiring space-based depth.
Selection. A star moving at at a distance of has a proper motion of ; at , . Searches that select on large proper motion combined with a measured radial velocity are blind to such objects by construction.
A Concrete Search with Euclid and Roman
Both missions provide wide-field near-infrared imaging that yields photometric candidates, and slitless prism spectroscopy that can verify the bright tail kinematically.
Euclid’s Wide Survey maps deg to with NISP slitless spectroscopy at over – ([14]), the Euclid-class limit assumed in GL15. That area is a six-year goal, not a current footprint: nominal survey operations began in 2024 February, 5000 deg had been observed by 2026 March, and the Wide Survey completes around 2030. DR1 is scheduled for 2026 October.
The Roman High-Latitude Wide-Area Survey (HLWAS) covers deg in three tiers ([38]): a wide tier of deg reaching in F158; a medium tier of deg reaching mag (AB) in three filters, with slitless grism spectroscopy over the same area; and a deep tier of deg (two fields of deg) reaching about 1.1 mag deeper in F158 (), of which an ultra-deep component of deg reaches 28.2.1 The wide-field instrument delivers a deg field at pixels ([3]), and the grism spans – at resolving power – ([7]). The detection calculation below is the same for both surveys; only the area and depth change. We treat Euclid H and Roman F158 as equivalent AB magnitudes.
Photometric detections are candidates
Rescaling our surface density of one SHS per 100 deg at the Euclid- or WFIRST-class limit of GL15 (AB in the survey papers that set that cut; the introductory is the same infrared depth), and splitting the detections as in GL15 (red-giant-branch stars about half; the brighter giant branches the rest), gives a Euclidean surface density that depends only on depth. We apply that density at Euclid H and Roman F158 with no offset. The circumbinary-disk attractor confirms the already assumed in GL15 rather than raising the counts; retrograde can still sit a factor above ((5)). That normalisation is inherited from GL15 and is unrevised; merger-rate density, loss-cone supply, isochrone conversion, and the high-velocity slope of each contribute uncertainties of order a dex or more, larger than the eccentricity envelope itself.
SHS are not sourced only within 16 Mpc. A star at travels Mpc in a Hubble time, so the local density is an integral over the merger history of a Mpc sphere, and there is no physical reason for it to fall off outside Virgo. We therefore take Euclidean growth as the primary prediction, with the truncation of GL15 as a conservative floor. Applied to each survey (Figure 2): Euclid’s Wide Survey recovers the original GL15 forecast, photometric detections over 14,000 deg. The HLWAS wide tier, 2.2 mag deeper, contains ; the medium tier, 0.3 mag deeper still, ; the 19.2 deg deep tier, 1.1 mag deeper in F158, rather than the at which the truncated calculation saturates, an order-of-magnitude increase, which is why we develop the photometric selection there (§6).

Figure 2. Expected number of SHS as a function of survey depth. The solid curve is Euclidean growth of the unboosted [18] density (one SHS per 100 deg at ), the primary prediction; the dashed curve caps each tracer at and is a conservative floor. Green symbols are the Euclid and Roman cuts (Wide photometry and both grism continuum limits); the blue square is Rubin 5 proper motions in on the HLWAS footprint. Open symbols are the HLWAS photometric tiers. The Euclid grism bar is the published mag on . Grism markers sit at the published continuum depths; a velocity from bandheads is typically 0.5–1 mag brighter (see text). Vertical bars and the shaded band span the eccentricity systematic only, from to ; they are not a full error budget. Each survey is labeled with its name, area, and expected count.
These are faint red point sources, not identifications. As we noted in GL15, the color shift induced by bulk motion is only a few tenths of a magnitude and is degenerate with normal giant-branch color evolution; the sky is full of Galactic dwarfs and unresolved background galaxies. An SHS is verified only when a velocity is measured: a grism radial velocity, a proper motion from Rubin or Roman, or both.
Figure 2 shows how the photometric counts depend on what is assumed. A shared space density would place the TP-AGB curve a factor above the TRGB curve, the volume ratio implied by mag in fig:1b. The two classes are not equally abundant. In GL15, red-giant-branch stars were about half of the detections at , with the shorter-lived, brighter giant branches contributing the rest. Matching that mix at implies a TP-AGB space density lower by , so the Euclidean rises coincide: the extra volume and the lower density cancel. They peel apart only if each tracer is capped at (TP-AGB at , TRGB at ), which we treat as a floor rather than the prediction. The shaded envelope is the eccentricity systematic alone, spanning (a factor 1.7 below the fiducial) to (a factor above, the retrograde-disk channel of [44]); it is not an error budget. A realistic photometric sample is of order –. The kinematically verifiable subset is the nearby, brighter tail of that distribution.
We bound the same volume with two characteristic luminosities rather than the mixed isochrone sample of GL15. In GL15 we converted the kinematic population with stellar isochrones and a Kroupa IMF at an (WFIRST- or Euclid-class) limit, without separating the tip of the red giant branch from the TP-AGB. We convert that mix into space densities so that the brighter class is not treated as equally numerous. Taking for the TRGB ([34]) and for luminous TP-AGB stars (B. F. Madore & W. L. Freedman 2020), Euclid at reaches 5.0 and 10 Mpc; HLWAS wide reaches 13.8 and 27.5 Mpc, and the deep tier 25 Mpc for the TRGB (Figure 1b). Both surveys detect evolved SHS throughout and well beyond the Mpc volume within which [18] computed the population; as argued above, that volume is a computational boundary rather than a physical one. Most of those detections will not have a measured velocity.

Figure 1. (a) Asymptotic ejection speed as a function of binary eccentricity for three hardening stages (, ), from (2). Curves terminate where the periapse reaches the innermost bound circular orbit [5] and are capped at . At those two limits nearly coincide; they are independent constraints whose ordering depends on mass ratio, and intact survival at the IBCO periapse requires (see text). The dotted and dashed lines mark the Hills-mechanism ceilings derived in [18] from the encounter kinematics of [39]: for a stellar binary and a single MBH (consistent with [16]), and for a stellar-mass black hole–star binary. The shaded region above is accessible only to merging MBH binaries. The vertical band marks the range of eccentricities now predicted during hardening: the circumbinary-disk attractor – ([48]; [43]; [33]), and the higher values reached by stellar scattering and retrograde disks ([24]; [25]; [44]). (b) Maximum distance at which a star of given absolute magnitude is detected as a function of limiting near-infrared magnitude, for two characteristic luminosities introduced here (the tip of the red giant branch and bright TP-AGB stars) rather than the mixed isochrone sample of [18]. Euclid H and Roman F158 are treated as equivalent AB magnitudes. Vertical lines mark the Euclid and HLWAS grism continuum limits, Euclid’s photometric depth (the limit assumed in [18]), and the HLWAS wide, medium, and deep tiers. The dashed horizontal line is the Virgo distance within which [18] computed the population, a computational boundary rather than a physical one.
The sky distribution need not be isotropic. In [18] the counts assumed an isotropic distribution, but we also noted that if mergers are plunging, the local population may originate from only a couple of events, and illustrated the case of a merger in M87 whose debris streams toward the Milky Way rather than filling the sky uniformly. The two deep-tier fields, COSMOS and XMM-LSS, lie and from M87; each sits inside one of the two medium-tier footprints. For stars streaming radially from Mpc with a density falling as , the two carry weights of 1.9 and 0.35 relative to the all-sky mean. Because they lie on opposite sides of the sky the summed yield moves by less than 15%. The photometric rates above are therefore insensitive to whether the sources are isotropic or Virgo-dominated, even though the field-to-field split is not.
Radial velocities: the grisms
Both surveys disperse every source on the detector. At (Euclid/NISP) to (HLWAS), a bulk velocity of displaces spectral features by –20 resolution elements, 5000 by –10, and 3000 by –6. In slitless spectroscopy the wavelength zero-point is set by the source’s position along the dispersion direction, so requires astrometric registration to NISP pixel ( at ); that is why we lead with , the velocity at which no competing channel operates. A stellar photospheric spectrum, with the CO bandheads near 1.6 m and CN near 1.1 m, is unmistakable against the smooth continuum of a background galaxy, and a blueshifted stellar spectrum has no astrophysical contaminant at all. That is a radial-velocity verification, obtained from the same exposures taken to measure galaxy H redshifts.
The continuum limit is the binding constraint, and it is where the two surveys trade area against depth. The published NISP 3.5 continuum is for compact galaxies ([13]); NISP undersamples the PSF (0.′′3 pixels), so that limit is already close to the point-source depth relevant for SHS. For HLWAS, the published one-hour point-source continuum limits at 1.5 m are (5 per pixel) and 20.5 (10 per pixel) ([3]).2 The medium-tier grism stack is 4 passes of s dithers, or 1520 s on source. Scaling the 5 per-pixel limit as gives at the table zodiacal level and at typical HLWAS backgrounds, confirming the threshold adopted below.
The same surface density then gives both continuum yields (Figure 2). At , Euclid reaches 0.63 Mpc (TRGB) and 1.3 Mpc (TP-AGB); at , HLWAS reaches 1.3 and 2.5 Mpc. Counts scale as the cube of the distance, and Euclid’s sixfold area (14,000 vs. 2350 deg) only just cancels a mag deficit, so the completed surveys yield and continuum detections at those published limits. A velocity from bandheads wants a signal-to-noise of a few per resolution element, typically 0.5–1 mag brighter, so the completed surveys yield of order 0.1–0.5 objects with a measured velocity, a few at . Euclid’s total is not yet in hand: it accumulates at deg yr, the 5000 deg observed by 2026 March contain expected continuum objects, and the spectroscopic yield arrives when the Wide Survey finishes around 2030. HLWAS is slightly deeper and arrives later; its wide tier has no grism, so those photometric detections are not spectroscopically verified by HLWAS itself.
These spectra are being taken regardless. A search for blueshifted stellar continua in the NISP or HLWAS grism requires no new observing time and no change to either observing strategy.
Transverse velocities: Rubin and Roman astrometry
HLWAS is not a proper-motion survey. Transverse velocities on its footprint come primarily from Rubin’s decade-long baseline, with Roman supplying the NIR detection, a precise single-epoch position, and (in the medium and deep tiers) colors and, where bright enough, a grism spectrum. A star at 3000 km s has a proper motion of 3.2, 1.3, and 0.63 mas yr at 0.2, 0.5, and 1 Mpc respectively; at km s these become 10.5, 4.2, and 2.1 mas yr.
Proper motion measures an angular rate; converting it to a transverse velocity requires a distance. A foreground M dwarf at 1 kpc moving at 5 km s has mas yr, indistinguishable in alone from a km s star at 2 Mpc. A proper motion verifies an SHS only jointly: a TRGB- or TP-AGB-like SED in Roman colors, no measurable parallax, and a that is large for a star at that photometric distance, and only where Roman photometry exists.
The ten-year Rubin precision is mas yr at and mas yr at ([22]). Cool giants are fainter in than in F158; we adopt for the TRGB and for TP-AGB and evaluate at that . Requiring a detection against the magnitude-dependent curve and applying the resulting distance cut consistently to both tracers confines the sample to 1.2 Mpc (TRGB) and 1.3 Mpc (TP-AGB) at km s. Over the deg HLWAS imaging area this yields objects (Figure 2); over the full 18,000 deg LSST footprint ([23]) , of order one. A Rubin-baseline plus Roman-epoch solution is in F158, where the star is bright, and may recover much of the previous reach. We quote the HLWAS overlap because only there do Roman colors supply the photometric distance. Objects detected only in F158 at have no Rubin counterpart deep enough for that measurement. They remain photometric candidates.
The High-Latitude Time-Domain Survey (HLTDS) does supply an internal Roman astrometric baseline: repeat imaging over deg at a –10 day cadence for two years, with an extended component spanning the five-year mission ([38]). At mas yr over that baseline a detection at km s reaches Mpc and yields expected SHS, comparable to the Rubin number on the HLWAS footprint rather than negligible. Any candidate that falls there will have a Roman-only proper motion, and the survey demonstrates that HLWAS need not be the last word on Roman astrometry.
A star with both a several-thousand km s blueshift and a proper motion large for its photometric distance, with no measurable parallax, is unambiguous. The grism alone still verifies against every astrophysical contaminant at –600. The deep tier, observed in part early and in part later in the mission, may add a short Roman-only astrometric baseline on 19.2 deg, useful for any candidates that fall there but not a survey.
Contaminants
Four populations will dominate a candidate list, and each is separable. Galactic halo dwarfs share the colors of distant giants but have radial velocities below the local escape speed (–600 km s; [37]) and large parallaxes or proper motions inconsistent with megaparsec distances. Unresolved background galaxies are redshifted and, at –600, show no stellar photospheric features. Ordinary hypervelocity stars from the Galactic center or the LMC ([8]; [19]) have velocity vectors that trace back to those nuclei; SHS will not. In [16] we showed that if ejections are beamed, several SHS would share trajectories pointing back to a common source galaxy, illustrated there with a merger in M87, a distinctive signature rather than a contaminant. Intracluster and intragroup giants, tidally stripped and bound to the cluster potential, have velocities of a few hundred to km s and cluster spatially around their hosts ([29]), whereas SHS are unbound and would stream radially from their source at several thousand km s or more.
Discussion
Two related searches overlap this one. J.-H. Wang et al. (2025) have modeled “intergalactic wandering stars” within 10 Mpc produced by the Hills mechanism acting on the Galactic center MBH, predicting a few thousand objects detectable by Rubin and the China Space Station Telescope. Their population and ours are separated in velocity and origin (theirs peaks near km s and points back to the Galactic center, ours extends to km s and may point back toward Virgo), but any pipeline built to find isolated unbound stars will recover both. Separately, J. R. Martinez et al. (2022) showed that the bow shocks of semi-relativistic stars should produce detectable non-thermal radio emission, a channel that has not been used and that SKA-era surveys may make competitive with deep infrared imaging.
No candidate SHS has been identified, and none of the fast stars discovered in the interim is one: the current record holders among unbound stars are the – km s survivors of double white dwarf detonations (K. El-Badry et al. 2023; R. Pakmor et al. 2026), an order of magnitude too slow and produced by thermonuclear rather than black hole physics. The star S301, announced in 2026 with a pericenter speed of km s (GRAVITY Collaboration et al. 2026), is gravitationally bound to Sgr A* on an 8.7 yr orbit and is not an ejected star at all, though it may be the captured companion of the hypervelocity star S5-HVS1 (A. Caputo & G. M. Tomaselli 2026). If so, this would confirm Hills-mechanism physics at the level of an individual binary.
The spectroscopic search can begin with Euclid DR1 in 2026 October; the O(1) Wide-Survey spectroscopic yield arrives around 2030, contemporaneous with the first HLWAS medium-tier grism fields. Roman’s deeper imaging then expands the photometric candidate list, and its slightly higher resolving power and fainter continuum limit expand the spectroscopic reach.
The HLWAS tiers do not arrive together, which bears on where a Roman photometric selection should start. Under the observing plan published before launch, the 19.2 deg deep tier is to be completed by 2028 February, a half-depth pass of the ultra-deep tier follows in 2028 April–June, and the first medium-tier field, and thus the first grism spectroscopy, is to be completed by the end of 2028, while the wide tier receives only partial coverage within the first two years of science operations.3 The deep tier is therefore where the Roman photometric selection should be developed: it exists first, it carries the most filters, and Euclidean growth puts photometric detections there rather than a handful. Bulk selection is a giant-branch SED at giant luminosity, inconsistent with a dwarf sequence, using that filter set for luminosity-class leverage; at the extreme tail () the same SED is anomalously blue (4000 K 5400 K), consistent with a Doppler-shifted cool-giant template (J. Guillochon & A. Loeb 2015, their §6.1). Its grism exposures are eight times longer than the medium tier’s, which deepens galaxy emission-line spectra and gains about a magnitude on stellar continua, still far shallower than the imaging, so most photometric detections there have no radial velocity. The NISP grism is already the spectroscopic search; the medium-tier grism is its Roman counterpart. Rubin proper motions accumulate in parallel. The wide tier’s larger photometric sample is a candidate list for those proper motions and for later spectroscopy, not a catalog of SHS. A blueshifted giant in those data would be a direct tracer of an eccentric MBH merger.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported in part by the Black Hole Initiative, which is funded by JTF and GBMF. We thank the Euclid Consortium and the Roman project and community survey definition teams for making the Wide Survey and HLWAS parameters public. An initial research draft of this paper was written by Anthropic’s AI assistant, Claude (Opus 5). All text that was not written by the authors was reviewed and approved by the authors, and all references have been verified.4
Software: astropy (Astropy Collaboration et al. 2022), matplotlib (J. D. Hunter 2007), numpy (S. van der Walt et al. 2011)
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