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Improved constraints on higher-derivative effective field theory extensions of general relativity with GW230627_015337

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Abstract

Gravitational-wave (GW) observations of binary black holes provide a powerful probe of general relativity (GR) in the strong-field regime. In effective field theory (EFT) extensions of GR, higher-curvature operators modify the binary dynamics and introduce corrections to the inspiral phase. In this work, we consider two parity-even cubic-curvature couplings and one quartic-curvature coupling, whose leading phase corrections enter at 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN order, respectively. We incorporate these corrections into the individual multipoles of the SEOBNRv5HM\_ROM waveform using the flexible theory-independent framework, allowing higher-order modes and the full inspiral-merger-ringdown signal to be used in the analysis. We first perform a Fisher-matrix analysis of 92 binary-black-hole events selected from a parent sample of 273 events in the public LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalogs. GW230627_015337 provides the tightest forecast constraints on all three EFT couplings and is therefore selected for a full Bayesian analysis. The posterior distributions are consistent with GR, with all three couplings consistent with zero at 90% credibility. The corresponding one-sided 90% upper limits on the characteristic length scales are 17.117.1, 11.111.1, and 18.3 km18.3\,\mathrm{km}. The log Bayes factors of the three EFT models relative to GR range from −5.49-5.49 to −2.51-2.51, favoring GR under the adopted priors. These bounds probe higher-curvature length scales at the level of 1010–20 km20\,\mathrm{km} and are numerically tighter than representative previous inspiral and ringdown constraints, although differences in the models and analysis assumptions should be taken into account.

Introduction

The detection of gravitational waves (GWs) from coalescing compact binaries by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) Collaboration [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9] has opened a new observational window for testing gravity in the strong-field and highly dynamical regime. The observed signals carry information about the binary dynamics throughout the inspiral, merger, and ringdown stages. In particular, the large number of orbital cycles accumulated during the inspiral makes the GW phase especially sensitive to small modifications of the binary dynamics. Compact-binary GW signals therefore provide a powerful probe of general relativity (GR) and possible deviations from it. So far, tests based on the published GW catalogs have found no statistically significant evidence for departures from GR [10, 11, 12, 13, 14]. With the continuing improvement in detector sensitivity and the growing number of observed events, GW observations are expected to place increasingly stringent constraints on possible extensions of GR.

Tests of GR with GWs can be broadly divided into theory-agnostic and theory-specific approaches. In theory-agnostic tests, possible deviations from GR are introduced directly at the waveform level through phenomenological parameters, without assuming a particular gravitational theory. Examples include the parametrized post-Einsteinian framework [15, 16], parametrized modifications to GW propagation associated with symmetry breaking [17, 18], and inspiral tests in which selected post-Newtonian (PN) phase coefficients are allowed to deviate from their GR predictions. The latter have been implemented, for example, in the TIGER pipeline [19, 20, 21, 22] and in the flexible theory-independent (FTI) framework [23]. These methods are well suited for searching for generic deviations from GR. However, the phenomenological parameters introduced in such tests do not always admit a direct interpretation in terms of the fundamental parameters of a specific theory. Theory-specific tests follow a complementary strategy. Starting from a given gravitational action, one derives the modifications to the binary dynamics and GW waveform and then uses GW observations to constrain the corresponding coupling parameters. In this work, we follow this approach and consider higher-curvature corrections to GR within the framework of effective field theory (EFT).

EFT provides a systematic description of corrections to GR below a cutoff scale Λ [24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29]. For four-dimensional vacuum binary-black-hole (BBH) systems, curvature-squared terms are either topological or can be removed by field redefinitions at the order relevant here [28, 30]. We therefore focus on cubic- and quartic-curvature interactions. In the cubic sector, we consider a parity-even model with two independent coupling parameters, whose effects on the binary binding energy, GW flux, and inspiral phase have been derived in Refs. [30, 31, 32]. We also consider the parity-even quartic operator C2C^2 studied in Ref. [28]. This represents a particular truncation of the quartic-curvature sector rather than the most general EFT operator basis. The leading inspiral-phase corrections enter at 5PN and 6PN order for the two cubic couplings and at 8PN order for the quartic coupling. In the present analysis, we include these EFT corrections to the inspiral phase and neglect corrections to the waveform amplitudes and spin-dependent terms.

Higher-curvature EFT extensions of GR have previously been constrained using both inspiral and ringdown signals. Ringdown analyses probe modifications to the quasinormal-mode spectrum of the remnant black hole. Using GW150914 and GW200129, Silva et al. obtained 90% upper limits of ℓqEFT≤51.3\ell_{\mathrm{qEFT}} \le51.3 km and ℓcEFT≤38.2\ell_{\mathrm{cEFT}} \le38.2 km for the quartic and cubic models considered in that analysis, respectively [33], with the quartic bound depending on the adopted EFT-validity condition. Inspiral analyses instead probe changes in the binary dynamics through their accumulated effects on the GW phase. An analysis of GW151226 and GW170608 found that quartic-EFT length scales around dΛ≡1/Λ∼150d_{\Lambda} \equiv1/\Lambda\sim150 km are disfavored [28], while the cubic sector has also been constrained using GW170608 [32]. Since these analyses probe different parts of the signal and rely on different waveform models, frequency ranges, priors, and validity assumptions, their constraints are complementary.

For inspiral-based EFT tests, an important issue is how to incorporate the predicted phase corrections into modern waveform models while retaining as much information as possible from the observed signal. Many PN-based tests use inspiral-only waveforms or focus mainly on the dominant (2,2)(2,2) mode. However, higher-order multipoles can provide additional information, especially for binaries with unequal masses or non-face-on orientations. Moreover, although the EFT corrections considered here are derived only for the inspiral, the merger and ringdown portions of the signal still help constrain the binary masses, spins, distance, and orientation, and can therefore reduce degeneracies with beyond-GR effects.

The FTI framework provides a suitable way to incorporate these features [23]. It allows parametrized phase corrections to be introduced into the individual multipoles of a complete GR inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform. The modifications are applied in the inspiral and smoothly tapered toward its end, while the calibrated GR merger-ringdown waveform is retained. In this way, higher-order modes can be included and the full observed signal can be used in parameter estimation even when the beyond-GR corrections are known only in the inspiral regime. This is particularly relevant for the high-PN EFT corrections considered here, which become more important toward the late inspiral and can be correlated with the binary masses and spins. We therefore use the FTI framework to introduce the 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN EFT phase corrections into the individual multipoles of the SEOBNRv5HM_ROM waveform, with the PN coefficients expressed directly in terms of the EFT coupling parameters.

A further question is which BBH events are expected to provide the strongest constraints on these EFT corrections. A full Bayesian analysis of every detected BBH event would be computationally expensive, especially when higher-order modes and a complete inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform are included. It is therefore useful to first identify the most promising events with a computationally cheaper method and then perform a full Bayesian analysis for the best candidates. However, the network signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) alone is not sufficient for such a selection. The constraining power also depends on the source mass, the amount of inspiral signal in band, the frequency dependence of the EFT correction, parameter correlations, detector responses, and noise power spectral densities. In addition, converting a dimensionless EFT coupling to a characteristic length scale introduces an extra dependence on the source mass. Therefore, a louder event does not necessarily provide a tighter constraint on the EFT length scale. This motivates our use of the Fisher-matrix analysis to rank the observed BBH events and select the most promising target for the subsequent Bayesian inference.

In this work, we proceed in three steps. First, we construct EFT-modified waveforms by introducing the cubic- and quartic-EFT phase corrections at 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN order into the individual multipoles of SEOBNRv5HM_ROM using the FTI prescription [23, 34]. Second, we compile a parent sample of 273 BBH events from the public GWTC catalogs and select 92 events with sufficient inspiral information for a Fisher-matrix analysis [8, 9]. We use the Fisher forecasts to rank these events according to their expected constraining power on the EFT parameters and identify GW230627_015337 as the most promising target in our sample. Finally, we perform a full Bayesian analysis of this event, obtain posterior distributions for the EFT coupling parameters and the corresponding characteristic length scales, and compare the resulting constraints with the Fisher forecasts and with previous inspiral- and ringdown-based bounds.

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Sec. II, we introduce the higher-derivative EFT extension of GR, derive the corresponding modifications to the GW phase, and describe how these corrections are incorporated into the GR waveform within the FTI framework. In Sec. III, we describe the Fisher-matrix formalism and event-selection criteria, present the dependence of the forecast constraints on the binary mass, and rank the selected BBH events according to their expected constraining power. In Sec. IV, we describe the Bayesian inference method and the setup used in our analysis. The main results are presented in § 1.4, where we also compare our constraints with previous results. Finally, we summarize our main findings in Sec. VI.

Throughout this paper, we adopt the metric signature (−,+,+,+)(-,+,+,+). Greek indices (μ,ν,…)(\mu,\nu,\ldots) denote spacetime coordinates and run over 0,1,2,30,1,2,3, while Latin indices (i,j,k,…)(i,j,k,\ldots) denote spatial coordinates and run over 1,2,31,2,3. Unless otherwise stated, we keep the factors of GG and cc explicit.

The effective field theory extension to general relativity and the modified waveforms

The higher-derivative effective field theory extension of GR

As discussed in the Introduction, we describe higher-curvature corrections to GR through a low-energy derivative expansion of the gravitational action. In this section, we specify the operators retained in our analysis and define the corresponding coupling conventions. We follow the two-body effective description and coupling conventions adopted in Refs. [31, 32]. These conventions will also be used below to construct the waveform corrections and to relate the inferred couplings to characteristic length scales.

At four-derivative order, the parity-even pure-gravity action contains three curvature-squared invariants, which may be chosen as R2R^2, RμνRμνR_{\mu\nu}R^{\mu\nu}, and RμνρσRμνρσR_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}R^{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}. In four dimensions, the Riemann-squared term can be expressed, up to the Gauss–Bonnet density, in terms of the Ricci scalar and Ricci tensor. The latter can be removed perturbatively by metric field redefinitions using the leading-order vacuum equations of motion, while the Gauss–Bonnet density with a constant coefficient is topological and does not modify the local field equations [28]. The parity-odd curvature-squared invariant is the Chern–Pontryagin density,

C~≡RμνρσR~μνρσ,(1)\widetilde{C} \equiv R_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}\widetilde{R}^{\mu\nu\rho\sigma}, \tag*{(1)}
R~μνρσ≡12ϵρσαβRμναβ.(2)\widetilde{R}_{\mu\nu\rho\sigma} \equiv\frac{1}{2}\epsilon_{\rho\sigma}{}^{\alpha\beta}R_{\mu\nu\alpha\beta}. \tag*{(2)}

which is also a total derivative for a constant coefficient. We therefore do not include independent curvature-squared operators in the vacuum gravitational action considered here. We note, however, that field redefinitions in the bulk action can induce or shift operators in the effective source or worldline action. The reduction of the vacuum operator basis should therefore be distinguished from the operator content of the complete compact-binary EFT [31, 32].

We next consider the six-derivative cubic-curvature sector. Following Refs. [31, 32], we introduce

I1=RμναβRαβγσRγσμν,(3)I_1 = R_{\mu\nu}{}^{\alpha\beta}R_{\alpha\beta}{}^{\gamma\sigma}R_{\gamma\sigma}{}^{\mu\nu}, \tag*{(3)}
I2=RμανβRαγβσRγμσν,(4)I_2 = R_{\mu}{}^{\alpha}{}_{\nu}{}^{\beta}R_{\alpha}{}^{\gamma}{}_{\beta}{}^{\sigma}R_{\gamma}{}^{\mu}{}_{\sigma}{}^{\nu}, \tag*{(4)}

and define the combination

G3≡I1−2I2.(5)\mathcal{G}_3 \equiv I_1 - 2I_2. \tag*{(5)}

The combination G3\mathcal{G}_3 is related to the purely Riemann-cubic part of the six-dimensional Euler density. Although the corresponding structures are not independent in the four-dimensional vacuum on-shell basis, both couplings enter the two-body effective description adopted in Refs. [31, 32]. We therefore follow these references and write

Lcubic=α1I1+α22G3.(6)\mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{cubic}} = \alpha_1 I_1 + \frac{\alpha_2}{2}\mathcal{G}_3. \tag*{(6)}

Parity-odd cubic operators can also be constructed by dualizing one of the Riemann tensors. These operators are not included in the present analysis [35].

At eight-derivative order, the action can contain quartic-curvature interactions. We define

C≡RαβγδRαβγδ,C~≡RαβγδR~αβγδ.(7)\mathcal{C} \equiv R_{\alpha\beta\gamma\delta}R^{\alpha\beta\gamma\delta}, \qquad\widetilde{\mathcal{C}} \equiv R_{\alpha\beta\gamma\delta}\widetilde{R}^{\alpha\beta\gamma\delta}. \tag*{(7)}

These quantities generate the quartic operators C2\mathcal{C}^2, C~2\widetilde{\mathcal{C}}^2, and CC~\mathcal{C}\widetilde{\mathcal{C}}. The first two are parity even, whereas CC~\mathcal{C}\widetilde{\mathcal{C}} is parity odd [28]. Following Ref. [28], we retain only the parity-even operator C2\mathcal{C}^2,

Lquartic=α3C2.(8)\mathcal{L}_{\mathrm{quartic}} = \alpha_3\mathcal{C}^2. \tag*{(8)}

This choice represents a truncation of the quartic-curvature sector rather than the most general EFT operator basis.

Combining the retained cubic and quartic interactions with the Einstein–Hilbert term, the gravitational action considered in this work is

Sg=116πG∫d4x−g[R+α1Λ4I1+α22Λ4G3+α3Λ6C2].(9)S_g = \frac{1}{16\pi G}\int d^4x\sqrt{-g}\left[R+\frac{\alpha_1}{\Lambda^4}I_1+\frac{\alpha_2}{2\Lambda^4}\mathcal{G}_3+\frac{\alpha_3}{\Lambda^6}\mathcal{C}^2\right]. \tag*{(9)}

Here, Λ\Lambda is the EFT cutoff scale, while α1\alpha_1, α2\alpha_2, and α3\alpha_3 are dimensionless coupling coefficients. Equation (9) defines the truncated higher-curvature model considered throughout this work. Setting α1=α2=α3=0\alpha_1=\alpha_2=\alpha_3=0 recovers the Einstein–Hilbert action.

For quasicircular binary inspirals, these higher-curvature interactions modify the conservative dynamics and GW energy flux, and consequently lead to corrections to the waveform phase. In the nonspinning limit, the leading phase corrections associated with G3\mathcal{G}_3, I1I_1, and C2\mathcal{C}^2 enter at 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN order, respectively [28, 31, 32]. The explicit forms of these phase corrections are given in the next subsection.

The EFT phase corrections

We introduce the dimensionless PN velocity parameter associated with the dominant (2,2)(2,2) mode,

v≡(πMf)1/3,(10)v \equiv(\pi M f)^{1/3}, \tag*{(10)}

where, in this subsection, we use units with G=c=1G=c=1. Here M=m1+m2M=m_1+m_2 is the detector-frame total mass and ff is the observed GW frequency of the (2,2)(2,2) mode. We also define the symmetric mass ratio as η≡m1m2/M2\eta\equiv m_1m_2/M^2. Since M=(1+z)MsrcM=(1+z)M_{\mathrm{src}} and f=fsrc/(1+z)f=f_{\mathrm{src}}/(1+z), the combination Mf=MsrcfsrcMf=M_{\mathrm{src}}f_{\mathrm{src}} is independent of the cosmological redshift. The EFT phase corrections used below are those derived for quasicircular, nonspinning binaries.

At the PN orders considered here, the EFT corrections can be written as shifts to the PN coefficients of the (2,2)(2,2)-mode phase,

δΨEFT(f)=3128η∑n∈{10,12,16}δψnvn−5.(11)\delta\Psi^{\mathrm{EFT}}(f)=\frac{3}{128\eta}\sum_{n\in\{10,12,16\}}\delta\psi_n v^{n-5}. \tag*{(11)}

Here n=2kn=2k, where kk denotes the PN order relative to the leading Newtonian phase. The corrections proportional to δψ10\delta\psi_{10}, δψ12\delta\psi_{12}, and δψ16\delta\psi_{16} therefore enter at 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN order, respectively. Their explicit expressions are

δψ10=−1872β2,δψ12=549360β1−45(43683+12908η)β2294,δψ16=234240−522240η11β3.(12)\begin{aligned} \delta\psi_{10} &= -1872\beta_2,\\ \delta\psi_{12} &= \frac{549360\beta_1-45(43683+12908\eta)\beta_2}{294},\\ \delta\psi_{16} &= \frac{234240-522240\eta}{11}\beta_3. \tag*{(12)} \end{aligned}

The corresponding dimensionless coupling combinations are defined by

β1≡α1(ℓΛrg)4,β2≡α2(ℓΛrg)4,β3≡α3(ℓΛrg)6,(13)\begin{aligned} \beta_1 &\equiv\alpha_1\left(\frac{\ell_\Lambda}{r_g}\right)^4,\\ \beta_2 &\equiv\alpha_2\left(\frac{\ell_\Lambda}{r_g}\right)^4,\\ \beta_3 &\equiv\alpha_3\left(\frac{\ell_\Lambda}{r_g}\right)^6, \tag*{(13)} \end{aligned}

where ℓΛ≡1/Λ\ell_\Lambda\equiv1/\Lambda is the EFT length scale and rg=Msrcr_g=M_{\mathrm{src}} is the gravitational radius of the binary in the source frame in units of G=c=1G=c=1. When units are restored, rg=GMsrc/c2r_g=GM_{\mathrm{src}}/c^2.

The cubic-sector coefficients in Eq. (12) are taken from Eqs. (25)–(26) of Ref. [32], which revises the earlier calculation of Ref. [31], while the 8PN term is the leading phase correction associated with the quartic operator retained here [28]. Higher-PN contributions beyond those shown above are not included in the present analysis. The GR limit is recovered for β1=β2=β3=0\beta_1=\beta_2=\beta_3=0.

We perform three separate single-coupling analyses. In each case, one of the parameters βi\beta_i is allowed to vary while the other two are fixed to zero. We also consider GR as the reference model, for which all three EFT couplings vanish. The constraints obtained below should therefore be understood as bounds on individual one-dimensional directions in the EFT coupling space, rather than joint constraints obtained by varying all three couplings simultaneously.

Although the waveform model is parametrized in terms of the dimensionless quantities βi\beta_i, it is more convenient to compare constraints from different sources and previous studies in terms of characteristic length scales. We define

ℓ1≡∣α1∣1/4ℓΛ=∣β1∣1/4rg,ℓ2≡∣α2∣1/4ℓΛ=∣β2∣1/4rg,ℓ3≡∣α3∣1/6ℓΛ=∣β3∣1/6rg.(14)\begin{aligned} \ell_1 &\equiv|\alpha_1|^{1/4}\ell_\Lambda=|\beta_1|^{1/4}r_g,\\ \ell_2 &\equiv|\alpha_2|^{1/4}\ell_\Lambda=|\beta_2|^{1/4}r_g,\\ \ell_3 &\equiv|\alpha_3|^{1/6}\ell_\Lambda=|\beta_3|^{1/6}r_g. \tag*{(14)} \end{aligned}

The quantities ℓi\ell_i on the left-hand side characterize the underlying EFT and are independent of the individual source, while the expressions on the right-hand side provide the mapping from the event-level constraints on βi\beta_i to the corresponding EFT length scales. The absolute values imply that ℓi\ell_i characterize only the magnitudes of the couplings. The signs of the couplings remain relevant to the waveform phase and are retained in the inference on βi\beta_i.

Implementation of the EFT phase corrections in the FTI framework

The EFT phase corrections derived in the previous subsection describe the inspiral of a quasicircular, nonspinning binary, whereas the waveform model used in our data analysis also contains higher-order modes and the merger-ringdown signal. To combine these ingredients, we use the FTI prescription of Ref. [23]. The FTI framework introduces inspiral phase corrections into individual frequency-domain modes and smoothly tapers these corrections toward the end of the inspiral, while retaining the underlying GR waveform in the post-inspiral regime. Although the FTI framework is theory independent in its general form, here the phase corrections are fixed by the EFT model described in the previous subsections.

For a positive-mm harmonic, the frequency-domain phase can be written as

Ψℓm(f)=2πftc−mϕc−π4+3128ηm2vm−5∑n[(φn+δφn)+(φnℓ+δφnℓ)ln⁡vm]vmn.(15)\Psi_{\ell m}(f)=2\pi f t_c-m\phi_c-\frac{\pi}{4} +\frac{3}{128\eta}\frac{m}{2}v_m^{-5}\sum_n\left[(\varphi_n+\delta\varphi_n)+(\varphi_{n\ell}+\delta\varphi_{n\ell})\ln v_m\right]v_m^n. \tag*{(15)}

where tct_c and ϕc\phi_c denote the coalescence time and orbital reference phase, respectively. The mode-dependent PN velocity is defined by

vm=(2πMfm)1/3,(16)v_m=\left(\frac{2\pi M f}{m}\right)^{1/3}, \tag*{(16)}

where MM is the detector-frame total mass and ff is the observed GW frequency of the corresponding mode. For the dominant (2,2)(2,2) mode, this reduces to v2=(πMf)1/3=vv_2=(\pi M f)^{1/3}=v. The quantities φn\varphi_n and φnℓ\varphi_{n\ell} denote the nonlogarithmic and logarithmic GR phase coefficients, while δφn\delta\varphi_n and δφnℓ\delta\varphi_{n\ell} denote their corresponding shifts. A term proportional to vmn−5v_m^{n-5} enters at n/2n/2 PN order relative to the leading Newtonian phase.

In a generic FTI analysis, the phase-coefficient deviations can be treated as independent parameters. In the present theory-specific implementation, we instead identify the EFT corrections in Eqs. (11)–(12) with the corresponding FTI coefficient shifts,

δϕn=δψn,n∈{10,12,16},δϕn=0,n∉{10,12,16},δϕnℓ=0.(17)\begin{aligned} \delta\phi_n &= \delta\psi_n,\quad n \in\{10,12,16\},\\ \delta\phi_n &= 0,\quad n \notin\{10,12,16\},\\ \delta\phi_{n\ell} &= 0. \tag*{(17)} \end{aligned}

Thus, no additional logarithmic corrections are introduced. The EFT relations among different PN orders are retained. In particular, β2\beta_2 determines both the 5PN and 6PN corrections according to Eq. (12), rather than allowing the two coefficients to vary independently.

We apply the same EFT phase prescription to each retained waveform mode using the m/2m/2 scaling in Eq. (15). This should be understood as the mode-by-mode FTI implementation of the inspiral correction, rather than as an independent EFT calculation of the phase correction for each higher-order mode.

We implement the tapering procedure following Ref. [23], using the LALSuite routine SimInspiralTestingGRCorrections [36] and the mode-by-mode implementation in bilby_tgr [37]. The baseline GR frequency-domain waveform is generated with SEOBNRv5HM ROM [34]. We retain the seven positive-mm modes (2,2)(2,2), (2,1)(2,1), (3,3)(3,3), (3,2)(3,2), (4,4)(4,4), (4,3)(4,3), and (5,5)(5,5). The phase correction is applied separately to each mode before the plus and cross polarizations are reconstructed.

For each mode, the untapered EFT phase correction is

δΨℓm(f)=3128ηm2∑n∈{10,12,16}δψnvmn−5.(18)\delta\Psi_{\ell m}(f) = \frac{3}{128\eta}\frac{m}{2}\sum_{n\in\{10,12,16\}}\delta\psi_n v_m^{n-5}. \tag*{(18)}

Equation (18) follows the phase convention used in the analytic expressions of the previous subsection. The frequency-domain phase convention used by LALSuite has the opposite sign, ΨLAL=−Ψlit\Psi_{\mathrm{LAL}}=-\Psi_{\mathrm{lit}}. The corresponding correction to the LALSuite waveform is therefore −δΨℓm-\delta\Psi_{\ell m}. We account for this sign difference when constructing the tapered correction below.

Following the FTI prescription, we taper the second frequency derivative of the phase correction using the Fermi–Dirac window

Wℓm(f)=11+exp⁡[(vm−vw)/σw].(19)W_{\ell m}(f) = \frac{1}{1+\exp\left[(v_m-v_w)/\sigma_w\right]}. \tag*{(19)}

where

vm=(2πMfm)1/3,vw=(πMFf22peak)1/3.(20)v_m = \left(\frac{2\pi M f}{m}\right)^{1/3},\qquad v_w = \left(\pi M F f_{22}^{\mathrm{peak}}\right)^{1/3}. \tag*{(20)}

Here f22peakf_{22}^{\mathrm{peak}} is the observed peak frequency of the GR (2,2)(2,2) mode, evaluated using the fitting formula of Ref. [38], and FF controls the taper location. We adopt F=1F=1, following Ref. [14]. Since the same value of vwv_w is used for all modes, the taper corresponds to the same orbital frequency, while its Fourier-domain frequency depends on the harmonic index mm. In particular, the center of the window, defined by Wℓm=1/2W_{\ell m}=1/2, occurs at

f=m2Ff22peak.(21)f=\frac{m}{2}Ff_{22}^{\mathrm{peak}}. \tag*{(21)}

Thus, different harmonics are tapered at different GW frequencies, but at the same underlying orbital frequency. The width of the transition is chosen according to the FTI prescription,

σw=128η3πvw6Ncyc50.(22)\sigma_w=\frac{128\eta}{3}\pi v_w^6\frac{N_{\mathrm{cyc}}}{50}. \tag*{(22)}

where NcycN_{\mathrm{cyc}} controls the width of the transition in GW cycles. We use Ncyc=1N_{\mathrm{cyc}}=1, as in Ref. [23]. The window approaches unity well below the transition and zero above it, with Wℓm=1/2W_{\ell m}=1/2 at the center.

Taking into account the phase convention described above, we define the tapered second derivative as

Dℓm(f)≡−Wℓm(f)d2δΨℓm(f)df2.(23)D_{\ell m}(f)\equiv-W_{\ell m}(f)\frac{\mathrm{d}^2\delta\Psi_{\ell m}(f)}{\mathrm{d}f^2}. \tag*{(23)}

The phase correction applied to the waveform is then obtained by integrating DℓmD_{\ell m} twice,

Qℓm(f)=∫fref,mfdx∫fa,mxdy Dℓm(y).(24)Q_{\ell m}(f)=\int_{f_{\mathrm{ref},m}}^f \mathrm{d}x\int_{f_{a,m}}^x \mathrm{d}y\,D_{\ell m}(y). \tag*{(24)}

where

fref,m=m2fref(25)f_{\mathrm{ref},m}=\frac{m}{2}f_{\mathrm{ref}} \tag*{(25)}

is the mode-dependent reference frequency. In our implementation, the second integration anchor is chosen as

fa,m=f22peak.(26)f_{a,m}=f_{22}^{\mathrm{peak}}. \tag*{(26)}

The corresponding integration conditions are

Qℓm(fref,m)=0,Qℓm′(fa,m)=0.(27)\begin{aligned} Q_{\ell m}(f_{\mathrm{ref},m}) &= 0,\\ Q'_{\ell m}(f_{a,m}) &= 0. \tag*{(27)} \end{aligned}

The first condition fixes the phase correction at the reference frequency, while the second fixes the linear-in-frequency integration constant according to the adopted FTI implementation. Since the two conditions are imposed at different frequencies, Qℓm′(fref,m)Q'_{\ell m}(f_{\mathrm{ref},m}) does not in general vanish.

The corrected waveform mode is finally given by

h~ℓm(f)⟶h~ℓm(f)exp⁡[iQℓm(f)].(28)\tilde{h}_{\ell m}(f)\longrightarrow\tilde{h}_{\ell m}(f)\exp\left[iQ_{\ell m}(f)\right]. \tag*{(28)}

We set the correction to zero below the common analysis frequency fmin=20 Hzf_{\mathrm{min}}=20\,\mathrm{Hz}, while retaining the native frequency support of each mode. The corrected modes are then combined to construct the plus and cross polarizations. In the present model, only the waveform phase is modified; EFT corrections to the mode amplitudes are not included.

Figure Figure 1 shows the magnitude of the final tapered phase correction, ∣Q22(f)∣|Q_{22}(f)|, evaluated using the GR-median source parameters of GW230627_015337. For each curve, one EFT coupling is set to unit magnitude while the other two are set to zero. The β2\beta_2 result includes the linked 5PN and 6PN contributions. The vertical line indicates the (2,2)(2,2)-mode peak frequency, which coincides with the center of the Fermi–Dirac window for F=1F=1. Since the window is applied to the second derivative of the phase rather than directly to the phase itself, Q22Q_{22} does not in general vanish above the taper frequency.

Magnitude of the tapered phase correction as a function of GW frequency

Figure 1. Magnitude of the tapered phase correction, ∣Q22∣|Q_{22}|, as a function of GW frequency for the GR-median source parameters of GW230627_015337. For each curve, one coupling is set to unit magnitude, ∣βk∣=1|\beta_k| = 1, while the other two couplings are set to zero. The β2\beta_2 curve contains both its 5PN and 6PN contributions. The vertical dotted line denotes the GR (2, 2)-mode peak frequency and, for F=1F = 1, the center of the Fermi–Dirac taper for this mode. Since the window acts on the second derivative of the phase correction, the integrated correction does not in general vanish above the taper frequency.

Fisher estimation and event selection

A full Bayesian analysis of a large number of BBH events is computationally expensive. We therefore use a Fisher-matrix analysis as a first step to estimate the expected constraining power of different events and to identify the most promising target for the subsequent Bayesian analysis. The Fisher calculation is performed using the EFT-modified waveform constructed in Sec. II C and under a common set of assumptions for all events, which allows a consistent comparison across the sample. We emphasize that the Fisher analysis is used here for forecasting and event ranking, rather than as a substitute for the full Bayesian parameter estimation. In this section, we first introduce the Fisher-matrix formalism, then describe the source-selection criteria, and finally present the forecast constraints for the selected events.

Fisher-matrix formalism

For an event ee, let hd(θ⃗)h_d(\vec{\theta}) denote the waveform response in detector dd for a parameter vector θ⃗\vec{\theta}. We define the network noise-weighted inner product as

(a∣b)≡4 Re⁡∑d∈De∫Be,da~d∗(f)b~d(f)Sn,d(e)(f) df,(29)(a|b) \equiv4\,\operatorname{Re}\sum_{d\in\mathcal{D}_e}\int_{B_{e,d}}\frac{\tilde{a}_d^*(f)\tilde{b}_d(f)}{S_{n,d}^{(e)}(f)}\,\mathrm{d}f, \tag*{(29)}

where De\mathcal{D}_e denotes the set of detectors used for event ee, Sn,d(e)(f)S_{n,d}^{(e)}(f) is the corresponding one-sided noise power spectral density (PSD), and Be,dB_{e,d} denotes the frequency region retained for that detector. The Fisher information matrix is then

Γij≡(∂h∂θi|∂h∂θj),(30)\Gamma_{ij}\equiv\left(\frac{\partial h}{\partial\theta_i}\middle|\frac{\partial h}{\partial\theta_j}\right), \tag*{(30)}

where hh represents the network detector response. In the local Gaussian approximation, and in the absence of informative priors, the marginalized uncertainty on a parameter θi\theta_i is

σi=(Γ−1)ii,(31)\sigma_i=\sqrt{\left(\Gamma^{-1}\right)_{ii}}, \tag*{(31)}

provided that the Fisher matrix is nonsingular [39, 40]. We perform a separate Fisher analysis for each EFT coupling βk\beta_k, varying one coupling at a time while fixing

the other two to zero. The GR parameter vector contains eleven parameters,

θ⃗GR=(m1,m2,χ1z,χ2z,dL,ι,α,δ,ψ,tc,ϕc),(32)\vec{\theta}_{\mathrm{GR}}=(m_1,m_2,\chi_{1z},\chi_{2z},d_L,\iota,\alpha,\delta,\psi,t_c,\phi_c), \tag*{(32)}

where m1m_1 and m2m_2 are the detector-frame component masses, χ1z\chi_{1z} and χ2z\chi_{2z} are the spin components aligned with the orbital angular momentum, dLd_L is the luminosity distance, ι\iota is the inclination angle, (α,δ)(\alpha,\delta) specify the sky position, ψ\psi is the polarization angle, and tct_c and ϕc\phi_c are the coalescence time and phase, respectively. Including one EFT coupling gives a 12-dimensional parameter space. The uncertainty on βk\beta_k is obtained after marginalizing over all eleven GR parameters.

For each event, the Fisher matrix is evaluated at a fiducial GR parameter point constructed from the marginal posterior medians reported in the corresponding IMRPhenomXPHM or IMRPhenomXPHM–SpinTaylor parameter-estimation results [41, 42].2 For each posterior spin sample, we first project the spin onto the orbital angular momentum axis and then take the median of the resulting aligned-spin component. The reported inclination angle ι\iota is used directly. The resulting fiducial point is therefore assembled from separate one-dimensional posterior medians and should not be interpreted as a joint posterior sample. It was also obtained using a waveform model different from the SEOBNRv5HM_ROM waveform used in our Fisher calculation. We evaluate the waveform directly at this fiducial point without rescaling its amplitude to reproduce the catalog SNR. The catalog SNR is used only in the source-selection procedure described below and for the color scale in Figure 2.

Fisher forecast constraints on the characteristic lengths associated with $\beta_1$, $\beta_2$, and $\beta_3$ as a function of detector-frame total mass

Figure 2. Fisher forecast constraints on the characteristic lengths associated with β1\beta_1 (left), β2\beta_2 (middle), and β3\beta_3 (right) for the 92 selected BBH events, shown as a function of detector-frame total mass. The color scale represents the catalog-normalized inspiral SNR defined in Eq. (36). The stars indicate GW230627_015337, which gives the tightest forecast for all three couplings in the selected sample.

For numerical differentiation, we use logarithmic coordinates for the component masses and luminosity distance. The waveform-shape derivatives are evaluated using fourth-order central finite differences with a step size of 10−410^{-4} in the corresponding numerical coordinates. The derivatives associated with the detector response are evaluated separately, while those with respect to luminosity distance and coalescence phase are calculated analytically. The derivative with respect to βk\beta_k is obtained from the FTI-modified waveform described in Sec. II C. The same detector responses and seven waveform modes used in the Bayesian analysis are included in the Fisher calculation. Since the masses and luminosity distance are nuisance parameters, the use of logarithmic coordinates for these quantities does not change the marginalized uncertainty on βk\beta_k.

The inner products are evaluated on a frequency grid from 20 to 4095.75 Hz, with a spacing of 0.125 Hz.

For each detector, the PSD is linearly interpolated only within its supplied frequency range, and the inner product is evaluated over the intersection between this range and the analysis grid. This defines the detector-dependent frequency support used in the Fisher forecast. It does not reproduce all detector-specific frequency cuts adopted in the original parameter-estimation analyses; in particular, the presence of a PSD value at a given frequency does not necessarily imply that the corresponding strain data were included in those analyses.

The SEOBNRv5HM ROM modes have mode-dependent hard frequency terminations. Near these boundaries, finite-difference derivatives can be affected by the motion of the waveform cutoff rather than by the smooth dependence of the waveform on the physical parameters. To avoid this numerical effect, we exclude frequency bins within 2 Hz of each mode termination. The resulting frequency mask is then held fixed when evaluating all waveform derivatives and Fisher inner products.

To marginalize over the GR parameters in a numerically stable way, we work directly with the noise-weighted waveform derivatives. We first normalize the eleven GR derivative vectors and use singular-value decomposition (SVD) to determine the subspace spanned by them. Singular values smaller than 10−1010^{-10} times the largest singular value are discarded. Let PGRP_{\mathrm{GR}} denote the orthogonal projector onto the retained GR derivative subspace, and let gkg_k denote the noise-weighted derivative with respect to βk\beta_k. The marginalized Fisher uncertainty can then be written as

σ(βk)=∥(I−PGR)gk∥−1.(33)\sigma(\beta_k) = \left\lVert(I-P_{\mathrm{GR}})g_k \right\rVert^{-1}. \tag*{(33)}

This expression is equivalent to marginalizing over the GR nuisance parameters in the Fisher matrix, while providing better numerical stability when some derivative directions are nearly degenerate. We retain only events for which the GR derivative block is numerically full rank under the adopted SVD criterion. All 92 events in the selected sample satisfy this requirement.

Finally, we convert the Fisher uncertainty on each dimensionless coupling into a forecast constraint on the corresponding characteristic length,

ℓ90(βk)=rg[1.645 σ(βk)]1/pk,(34)\ell_{90}(\beta_k) = r_g \left[1.645\,\sigma(\beta_k)\right]^{1/p_k}, \tag*{(34)}

where pk=4p_k = 4 for k=1,2k = 1, 2 and pk=6p_k = 6 for k=3k = 3, following Eq. (14). Here rg=GMsrc/c2r_g = GM_{\mathrm{src}}/c^2, with MsrcM_{\mathrm{src}} fixed at its fiducial value for each event. The source-frame mass entering this conversion is distinct from the detector-frame masses used in waveform generation. For a zero-mean Gaussian distribution of βk\beta_k, the factor 1.645 gives the 90% quantile of ∣βk∣/σ(βk)|\beta_k|/\sigma(\beta_k). The resulting ℓ90\ell_{90} should therefore be interpreted as a local Gaussian forecast rather than as a calibrated Bayesian credible limit or frequentist confidence limit. This distinction becomes particularly important when the Gaussian approximation is poor, as can occur for signals with relatively low waveform SNR [40].

Event selection

After combining GWTC-2.1 v2, GWTC-3 v3, GWTC-4.1, and GWTC-5.0, removing duplicate entries, and excluding systems containing neutron stars, we obtain a parent sample of 273 BBH events [43, 44, 45, 46]. We further require the selected parameter-estimation (PE) result for each event to provide PSDs for at least two detectors, so that the Fisher forecast can be performed with a multi-detector noise model. This requirement removes nine events and leaves 264 candidates.

For each candidate, we use the GR parameter medians and detector PSDs from the same PE result group. The event parameters, catalog SNR, false-alarm rate (FAR), detector network, and corresponding PE information are recorded together so that the source parameters and noise spectra used in the Fisher calculation can be traced consistently to the same PE analysis.

Since the EFT corrections considered here affect the inspiral phase, we select events with sufficiently strong and long inspiral signals. We characterize the end of the inspiral interval by the frequency fcf_c, defined through

GMdetfcc3=0.018,(35)\frac{G M_{\mathrm{det}} f_c}{c^3} = 0.018, \tag*{(35)}

where MdetM_{\mathrm{det}} is the detector-frame total mass. This choice follows the dimensionless-frequency boundary Mf=0.018M f = 0.018 used to separate the inspiral and merger regimes in the IMRPhenomD phase model [47, 48] and was also adopted in Ref. [32]. We use fcf_c only to estimate the amount of inspiral information available for event selection. It should not be interpreted as an EFT-validity cutoff and is independent of the FTI taper introduced in Sec. II C.

We estimate the inspiral contribution to the network SNR by computing the fraction of the squared SNR accumulated below fcf_c and normalizing it to the catalog-reported network SNR,

ρinsp=ρcat[∑d∫20 Hzfc∣h~d(f)∣2Sn,d(f) df∑d∫20 Hzfmax⁡∣h~d(f)∣2Sn,d(f) df]1/2.(36)\rho_{\mathrm{insp}} = \rho_{\mathrm{cat}} \left[ \frac{ \sum_d \int_{20\,\mathrm{Hz}}^{f_c} \frac{|\tilde{h}_d(f)|^2}{S_{n,d}(f)}\,df}{ \sum_d \int_{20\,\mathrm{Hz}}^{f_{\max}} \frac{|\tilde{h}_d(f)|^2}{S_{n,d}(f)}\,df} \right]^{1/2}. \tag*{(36)}

The integrals are evaluated using the event-specific detector PSDs and only over their available frequency support. The waveform is evaluated at the PE-median GR parameters. Since only the relative SNR contribution is used in Eq. (36), an overall amplitude normalization cancels in the ratio. We emphasize that ρinsp\rho_{\mathrm{insp}} is a catalog-normalized quantity used only for event selection and is not the optimal SNR of the fiducial waveform used in the Fisher calculation.

As a second measure of the available inspiral information, we estimate the number of GW cycles between fmin⁡=20f_{\min} = 20 Hz and fcf_c at leading PN order,

Nc≃132π8/3(GMdetc3)−5/3(fmin⁡−5/3−fc−5/3),(37)N_c \simeq\frac{1}{32\pi^{8/3}} \left(\frac{G\mathcal{M}_{\mathrm{det}}}{c^3}\right)^{-5/3} \left(f_{\min}^{-5/3} - f_c^{-5/3}\right), \tag*{(37)}

where Mdet=Mdetη3/5\mathcal{M}_{\mathrm{det}} = M_{\mathrm{det}}\eta^{3/5} is the detector-frame chirp mass. We set Nc=0N_c = 0 when fc≤fmin⁡f_c \leq f_{\min}. This leading-order estimate is used only as an event-selection criterion [49].

We retain events satisfying

ρinsp>6,Nc>5,FAR<10−3 yr−1.(38)\rho_{\mathrm{insp}} > 6,\qquad N_c > 5,\qquad\mathrm{FAR} < 10^{-3}\,\mathrm{yr}^{-1}. \tag*{(38)}

Together with the requirement of PSD availability for at least two detectors, these cuts select significant events with appreciable inspiral information. We adopt a relatively mild threshold on ρinsp\rho_{\mathrm{insp}} because the characteristic length depends only on the fourth or sixth root of the coupling uncertainty. The Fisher results for events near the threshold should nevertheless be regarded only as local forecasts, rather than as precise parameter-estimation bounds. Applying these criteria leaves 92 BBH events. All of them also satisfy the numerical full-rank condition required in the Fisher calculation.

Forecast constraints for the selected events

Figure 2 shows the Fisher forecasts for the 92 selected events. The forecast characteristic lengths are plotted against the detector-frame total mass, with the color indicating the catalog-normalized inspiral SNR. The conversion from the dimensionless couplings to the characteristic lengths is performed using the corresponding source-frame masses according to Eq. (14). Table I lists the twenty events with the tightest forecasts, ordered by ℓ90(β2)\ell_{90}(\beta_2). The same waveform model and Fisher procedure are applied to all events, while the source parameters and detector PSDs are taken from the corresponding PE analyses.

EventMdetM_{\mathrm{det}} [M⊙M_{\odot}]MsrcM_{\mathrm{src}} [M⊙M_{\odot}]η\etafcf_{\mathrm{c}} [Hz]ρcat\rho_{\mathrm{cat}}ρinsp\rho_{\mathrm{insp}}NcN_{\mathrm{c}}FAR [yr−1^{-1}]ℓ90\ell_{90} [km] β1\beta_1ℓ90\ell_{90} [km] β2\beta_2ℓ90\ell_{90} [km] β3\beta_3
GW230627_01533715.0814.140.241242.428.726.6312.41×10−51 \times10^{-5}16.911.117.9
GW240925_00580917.0715.850.247214.131.228.8246.71×10−51 \times10^{-5}17.411.419.1
GW240413_02201915.0213.420.242243.318.117.0312.01×10−51 \times10^{-5}18.512.218.7
GW241109_11592413.9112.370.243262.711.911.3354.81.2×10−41.2 \times10^{-4}21.013.819.9
GW240910_10353519.7717.190.232184.817.816.1204.21×10−51 \times10^{-5}21.914.522.2
GW190924_02184615.8114.200.224231.212.011.5310.31×10−51 \times10^{-5}22.615.021.3
GW231224_02432119.6616.550.246185.814.012.7194.11×10−51 \times10^{-5}23.515.523.4
GW241011_23383426.6725.490.179137.035.829.3158.01×10−51 \times10^{-5}23.415.624.7
GW241102_12405820.4818.910.244178.521.719.3182.71×10−51 \times10^{-5}23.815.724.6
GW250119_19023823.0621.610.249158.521.318.5146.41×10−51 \times10^{-5}24.015.825.8
GW240915_00135721.9918.570.243166.216.414.5162.71×10−51 \times10^{-5}24.616.224.8
GW230630_23453220.1516.620.240181.49.98.7191.04.2×10−44.2 \times10^{-4}24.616.224.1
GW241225_04255323.2120.430.239157.416.514.4150.81×10−51 \times10^{-5}24.616.325.5
GW241231_05413322.9919.440.231158.917.415.2158.21×10−51 \times10^{-5}25.116.625.3
GW240629_14525623.3418.740.243156.512.711.1146.91×10−51 \times10^{-5}25.817.125.9
GW240922_14210623.6319.080.241154.712.510.7145.01×10−51 \times10^{-5}25.817.125.8
GW191216_21333821.4419.990.232170.518.616.7177.51×10−51 \times10^{-5}26.117.326.2
GW17060819.8518.530.243184.115.314.3193.81×10−71 \times10^{-7}26.317.426.3
GW241114_23525821.8918.860.241166.912.411.0165.11×10−51 \times10^{-5}26.517.526.3
GW241130_11042221.9017.490.233166.910.39.2170.65.5×10−45.5 \times10^{-4}26.917.825.7

Table I. The twenty tightest Fisher forecasts with eleven GR nuisance parameters among the 92 selected multi-detector events, ordered by ℓ90(β2)\ell_{90}(\beta_2). MdetM_{\mathrm{det}} and MsrcM_{\mathrm{src}} are evaluated at the PE-median point; ρcat\rho_{\mathrm{cat}} is the catalog network SNR and ρinsp\rho_{\mathrm{insp}} is the catalog-normalized inspiral SNR computed with the event’s PE Release PSDs. The final three columns are one-sided 90% Fisher forecasts for the characteristic lengths, not Bayesian bounds.

As seen in Figure 2, the constraining power is not determined by the inspiral SNR alone. The characteristic length depends explicitly on the source mass, while the uncertainty on the EFT coupling enters only through a fourth or sixth root. The source masses also determine the duration and frequency range of the inspiral signal and affect correlations between the EFT coupling and the GR parameters. In addition, the detector responses and noise spectra determine the frequency-dependent weighting of the signal. These effects are included simultaneously in the Fisher calculation. Consequently, events with similar inspiral SNRs can give noticeably different constraints, and a larger SNR does not necessarily imply a tighter bound on the characteristic length.

Among the 92 selected events, GW230627_015337 provides the tightest forecast for all three EFT couplings, with ℓ90=16.9\ell_{90}=16.9, 11.1, and 17.9 km for β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2, and β3\beta_3, respectively. For comparison, GW240925_005809 gives the second-tightest constraint on β2\beta_2, with ℓ90(β2)=11.4\ell_{90}(\beta_2)=11.4 km, while GW170608 gives ℓ90(β2)=17.4\ell_{90}(\beta_2)=17.4 km. The latter event was used in the previous cubic-EFT analysis of [32]. Based on this ranking, we select GW230627_015337 for the full Bayesian analysis presented in the next section. We emphasize that this ranking refers only to the 92 events passing the selection criteria of Sec. III; it should not be interpreted as a ranking of all 273 BBH events in the parent sample.

Bayesian inference and analysis setup

Having identified GW230627_015337 as the most promising event from the Fisher analysis, we now perform a full Bayesian parameter-estimation analysis using its strain data. Unlike the Fisher forecast, which relies on a local Gaussian approximation around a fiducial point, Bayesian inference samples the posterior distribution over the full parameter space under specified priors.

For a waveform model HH and data dd, Bayes’ theorem gives

p(θ⃗∣d,H)=L(d∣θ⃗,H)π(θ⃗∣H)Z(d∣H).(39)p(\vec{\theta}\mid d,H)=\frac{\mathcal{L}(d\mid\vec{\theta},H)\pi(\vec{\theta}\mid H)}{\mathcal{Z}(d\mid H)}. \tag*{(39)}

where L(d∣θ⃗,H)\mathcal{L}(d\mid\vec{\theta},H) is the likelihood, π(θ⃗∣H)\pi(\vec{\theta}\mid H) is the prior, and Z(d∣H)\mathcal{Z}(d\mid H) is the Bayesian evidence. For two models HAH_A and HBH_B, we define the Bayes factor as

BBA=Z(d∣HA)Z(d∣HB).(40)\mathcal{B}^{A}_{B}=\frac{\mathcal{Z}(d\mid H_A)}{\mathcal{Z}(d\mid H_B)}. \tag*{(40)}

Values BBA>1\mathcal{B}^{A}_{B}>1 indicate that the data favor HAH_A over HBH_B for the adopted priors.

The parameter space contains the standard BBH parameters used in the GR analysis: the component masses, aligned-spin components, luminosity distance, inclination angle, coalescence time and phase, sky position, and polarization angle. For each EFT model, we vary one coupling βk\beta_k at a time while fixing the other two to zero. The corresponding GR model is recovered at βk=0\beta_k=0.

We perform the parameter estimation using the open-source package bilby [50] together with the nested-sampling algorithm nessai [51]. The waveform model is the EFT-modified SEOBNRv5HM_ROM waveform described in Sec. II C, implemented using LALSuite [34, 36]. The main settings of the analysis are summarized in Table II.

QuantitySetting
EventGW230627_015337
DetectorsH1, L1
GPS trigger time1371866035.8
Segment duration16 s
Sampling rate4096 Hz
Frequency range20–1024 Hz
Reference frequency20 Hz
Strain dataGWOSC, O4a, 4 kHz R1
PSDPE Release H1/L1 PSDs
Baseline waveformSEOBNRv5HM ROM
Harmonics(2,2), (2,1), (3,3), (3,2), (4,4), (4,3), (5,5)
EFT corrections5PN, 6PN, 8PN phase corrections
FTI windowF=1.0F = 1.0, Ncyc=1N_{\mathrm{cyc}} = 1
Prior on β1,2\beta_{1,2}U(−20,20)U(-20, 20)
Prior on β3\beta_3U(−20/3,20/3)U(-20/3, 20/3)
Marginalizationtime and distance
Samplernessai
Live points1000
Stopping criterion0.1
Parallel pool64

Table 2. Main settings used in the Bayesian analysis of GW230627_015337.

We perform four analyses using the same strain data, likelihood, waveform settings, and priors on the GR parameters: one GR analysis and three single-coupling EFT analyses corresponding to β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2, and β3\beta_3. In each EFT analysis, the other two couplings are fixed to zero. Each EFT model therefore contains GR as the zero-coupling limit, which allows the corresponding evidences to be compared directly under the specified priors.

We analyze a 16 s strain segment extending from 14 s before to 2 s after the trigger time, and use the frequency range 20–1024 Hz. The reference frequency is set to fref=20f_{\mathrm{ref}} = 20 Hz. For the (2,2)(2,2) mode, the phase correction is therefore anchored at the lower analysis frequency. For the other modes, the corresponding reference frequency is

fref,m=m2fref,(41)f_{\mathrm{ref},m} = \frac{m}{2}f_{\mathrm{ref}}, \tag*{(41)}

while the second integration condition is imposed at

fa,m=m2f22peak,(42)f_{a,m} = \frac{m}{2}f_{22}^{\mathrm{peak}}, \tag*{(42)}

as described in Sec. II C. For the choice F=1F = 1, this frequency also coincides with the center of the FTI taper for each mode.

The coupling priors in the convention used throughout this paper are

β1,β2∼U(−20,20),β3∼U(−20/3,20/3).(43)\begin{aligned} \beta_1,\beta_2 &\sim U(-20,20),\\ \beta_3 &\sim U(-20/3,20/3). \tag*{(43)} \end{aligned}

The different numerical range for β3\beta_3 originates from the convention used in the archived analysis code, β3code=3β3\beta_3^{\mathrm{code}} = 3\beta_3. Thus, a uniform prior β3code∼U(−20,20)\beta_3^{\mathrm{code}} \sim U(-20,20) corresponds exactly to β3∼U(−20/3,20/3)\beta_3 \sim U(-20/3,20/3) in the convention adopted here. This is only a change of parameter convention and does not represent an additional physical restriction on the posterior. The posterior support is well contained within the adopted prior ranges.

Results

The posterior distributions of the three EFT couplings for GW230627_015337 are shown in Figure 3, and the corresponding numerical results are summarized in Table III.

One-dimensional posterior distributions of $\beta_1$, $\beta_2$, and $\beta_3$ for GW230627_015337

Figure 3. One-dimensional posterior distributions of β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2, and β3\beta_3 for GW230627_015337. The dashed vertical lines indicate the GR value βk=0\beta_k = 0, while the solid lines and shaded regions show the posterior medians and central 90% credible intervals, respectively.

Coupling90% credible intervalℓ90\ell_{90} [km]ln⁡BGREFT\ln B_{\mathrm{GR}}^{\mathrm{EFT}}
β1\beta_10.135−0.343+0.3220.135^{+0.322}_{-0.343}<17.1< 17.1−4.10-4.10
β2\beta_2−0.023−0.059+0.062-0.023^{+0.062}_{-0.059}<11.1< 11.1−5.49-5.49
β3\beta_30.138−0.336+0.2860.138^{+0.286}_{-0.336}<18.3< 18.3−2.51-2.51

Table III. Bayesian constraints on the EFT couplings and characteristic length scales for GW230627_015337. The second column gives the posterior median and central 90% credible interval, while the third column gives the one-sided 90% upper limit on the corresponding characteristic length.

Constraints on the EFT couplings

The 90% credible intervals of all three EFT couplings contain zero. We therefore find no evidence for a deviation from GR. The constraints are

β1=0.135−0.343+0.322,β2=−0.023−0.059+0.062,β3=0.138−0.336+0.286,(44)\begin{aligned} \beta_1 &= 0.135^{+0.322}_{-0.343}, \qquad\beta_2 = -0.023^{+0.062}_{-0.059},\\ \beta_3 &= 0.138^{+0.286}_{-0.336}, \tag*{(44)} \end{aligned}

where the uncertainties denote the central 90% credible intervals.

Among the three couplings, β2\beta_2 is most tightly constrained. This is consistent with the fact that β2\beta_2 contributes already at 5PN order and also produces a linked 6PN correction, whereas β1\beta_1 first enters at 6PN order and β3\beta_3 at 8PN order.

Using Eq. (14), we convert the joint posterior samples of the EFT coupling and source-frame mass into the corresponding characteristic lengths. The resulting one-sided 90% upper limits are

ℓ1<17.1 km,ℓ2<11.1 km,ℓ3<18.3 km.(45)\ell_1 < 17.1\,\mathrm{km}, \qquad\ell_2 < 11.1\,\mathrm{km}, \qquad\ell_3 < 18.3\,\mathrm{km}. \tag*{(45)}

The strongest constraint is therefore obtained for the coupling β2\beta_2.

We quote upper limits on the characteristic lengths because the sampling priors are uniform in the signed couplings βk\beta_k, rather than in ℓk\ell_k. Since ℓk∝∣βk∣1/pk\ell_k \propto\lvert\beta_k\rvert^{1/p_k}, the induced prior on the characteristic length is not uniform, and its posterior need not peak at zero even when the coupling posterior is consistent with GR.

Bayesian model comparison

We compare each single-coupling EFT model with GR using BGREFT=ZEFT/ZGRB_{\mathrm{GR}}^{\mathrm{EFT}} = Z_{\mathrm{EFT}}/Z_{\mathrm{GR}}. The corresponding log Bayes factors are

ln⁡BGREFT=−4.10, −5.49, −2.51\ln B_{\mathrm{GR}}^{\mathrm{EFT}} = -4.10,\ -5.49,\ -2.51

for the β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2, and β3\beta_3 models, respectively. All three values favor GR over the corresponding EFT extension under the adopted priors. The strongest preference for GR is obtained for the β2\beta_2 model.

The numerical values of the Bayes factors depend on the adopted prior ranges, as expected in Bayesian model comparison. The coupling posteriors are well contained within the priors used in our analysis.

Comparison with the Fisher forecasts

For GW230627_015337, the Fisher forecasts for the characteristic lengths are 16.9, 11.1, and 17.9 km for β1\beta_1, β2\beta_2, and β3\beta_3, respectively. These values are close to the Bayesian upper limits of 17.1, 11.1, and 18.3 km.

The Fisher and Bayesian analyses are based on different statistical assumptions: the Fisher calculation uses a local Gaussian approximation, while the Bayesian analysis samples the full posterior under explicit priors. Nevertheless, the close agreement of the resulting characteristic-length constraints shows that the Fisher analysis provides a useful estimate of the relative constraining power of different events. This supports its use for the event selection carried out in Sec. III C.

Comparison with previous constraints

We compare our constraints with previous inspiral and ringdown studies of higher-curvature EFTs in Table IV. Such comparisons should be interpreted with some care. The analyses use different events, waveform models, statistical methods, priors, and prescriptions for the regime of validity of the EFT. In addition, the cubic theories considered in different studies are not always parametrized by the same operator basis. We therefore use the previous results mainly to compare the characteristic scales that can be probed, rather than to define precise improvement factors.

SectorThis workPrevious inspiralRingdown
Cubic β1\beta_{1}<17.1< 17.1 kmRef. [32]<38.2< 38.2 kma^{a}
Cubic β2\beta_{2}<11.1< 11.1 kmRef. [32]<38.2< 38.2 kma^{a}
Quartic β3\beta_{3}<18.3< 18.3 km∼150\sim150 kmb^{b}<51.3< 51.3 km

Table IV. Comparison with representative previous constraints on higher-curvature EFT length scales. The quartic inspiral value from Ref. [28] denotes a scale disfavored by Bayesian model selection rather than a 90% upper limit. The cubic ringdown result of Ref. [33] corresponds to a different cubic model and is included only as a reference scale.

For the quartic sector, Ref. [28] analyzed GW151226 and GW170608 and found that EFT length scales around dΛ∼150d_{\Lambda} \sim150 km are strongly disfavored by Bayesian model selection. This result is not a 90% upper limit and therefore cannot be directly compared with our bound

ℓ3<18.3 km.\ell_{3} < 18.3\ \mathrm{km}.

Nevertheless, the smaller scale reached in the present analysis indicates the increased sensitivity provided by the newer event and waveform treatment. Ringdown constraints provide a complementary comparison. Combining GW150914 and GW200129, Ref. [33] obtained the 90% upper limits ℓqEFT<51.3\ell_{\mathrm{qEFT}} < 51.3 km and ℓcEFT<38.2\ell_{\mathrm{cEFT}} < 38.2 km for the quartic and cubic EFT models considered there. The quartic result can be compared qualitatively with our ℓ3<18.3\ell_{3} < 18.3 km, although the ringdown analysis uses different waveform information and its quartic bound is subject to the EFT-validity qualification discussed in Ref. [33]. The cubic comparison is less direct. The cubic ringdown model involves a particular choice of parity-even and parity-odd couplings, whereas our analysis treats the two parity-even couplings associated with I1I_{1} and G3\mathcal{G}_{3} separately. The value 38.2 km should therefore be regarded only as a reference scale and not as a direct bound on either β1\beta_{1} or β2\beta_{2}.

The cubic sector has also been studied using GW170608 in Ref. [32], where an approximate inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform was constructed for a parity-preserving cubic EFT and analyzed in a full Bayesian framework. Because the waveform model, coupling parametrization, and treatment of EFT corrections differ from those adopted here, we do not make a direct numerical comparison between the corresponding coupling bounds. A more direct comparison can instead be made within our own Fisher framework. For GW170608, we obtain ℓ90(β1)=26.3\ell_{90}(\beta_{1}) = 26.3 km and ℓ90(β2)=17.4\ell_{90}(\beta_{2}) = 17.4 km, compared with 16.9 km and 11.1 km for GW230627_015337. Thus, under the same waveform and statistical assumptions, the event selected in this work is expected to provide substantially tighter constraints than GW170608.

Overall, the present analysis probes higher-curvature length scales at the level of approximately 10–20 km. The comparison with previous studies shows the improvement in the accessible scale, but the numerical differences should not be interpreted as precise improvement factors unless the waveform model, operator normalization, priors, and EFT-validity conditions are treated consistently.

a^{a} Different cubic coupling model; not a direct bound on β1\beta_{1} or β2\beta_{2}.

b^{b} Characteristic scale disfavored by Bayesian model selection in Ref. [28].

Conclusions

In this work, we have studied higher-curvature EFT extensions of GR using the inspiral signals of binary black holes. We considered two parity-even cubic-curvature couplings and one quartic-curvature coupling, whose leading phase corrections enter at 5PN, 6PN, and 8PN order. These corrections were incorporated into the individual multipoles of the SEOBNRv5HM_ROM waveform using the FTI framework, which allows the inspiral modifications to be combined with higher-order modes and the full GR inspiral-merger-ringdown waveform.

We first used a Fisher-matrix analysis to identify the events with the strongest expected constraints. Starting from a parent sample of 273 BBH events, we selected 92 systems with sufficient inspiral information and suitable detector PSDs. The Fisher calculation includes event-specific source parameters and noise spectra and marginalizes over eleven GR parameters. Among the selected events, GW230627_015337 gives the tightest forecasts for all three EFT couplings, with characteristic-length constraints of 16.9, 11.1, and 17.9 km for β1\beta_{1}, β2\beta_{2}, and β3\beta_{3}, respectively. This result also shows that the most constraining event cannot be identified from the catalog SNR alone, since the source mass, inspiral duration, parameter correlations, detector responses, and noise spectra all contribute to the final constraint.

We then performed a full Bayesian analysis of GW230627_015337. The posterior distributions of all three EFT couplings are consistent with the GR value. The corresponding 90% upper limits on the characteristic lengths are

ℓ1<17.1 km,ℓ2<11.1 km,ℓ3<18.3 km.\ell_{1} < 17.1\ \mathrm{km}, \qquad\ell_{2} < 11.1\ \mathrm{km}, \qquad\ell_{3} < 18.3\ \mathrm{km}.

The log Bayes factors are −4.10-4.10, −5.49-5.49, and −2.51-2.51 for the β1\beta_{1}, β2\beta_{2}, and β3\beta_{3} models, respectively, and therefore favor GR over the corresponding single-coupling EFT extensions for the adopted priors. The Bayesian length constraints are also in close agreement with the Fisher forecasts, supporting the use of the Fisher analysis for event ranking.

Compared with previous inspiral and ringdown studies, the present analysis probes higher-curvature length scales at the level of approximately 10–20 km. These comparisons should, however, be interpreted with care because different studies use different operator normalizations, waveform models, priors, frequency ranges, and EFT-validity assumptions. In particular, the FTI taper provides a prescription for connecting the inspiral correction to the GR merger-ringdown waveform, but it should not by itself be regarded as a condition for the validity of the EFT.

Several extensions of this analysis are possible. A simultaneous analysis of multiple EFT couplings would allow correlations among the couplings to be studied directly. Combining several BBH events could further improve the constraints and reduce the dependence on any single source. It will also be useful to investigate the effects of the FTI taper, EFT corrections to the waveform amplitudes, and spin-dependent EFT contributions. These developments would provide a more complete test of higher-curvature corrections to GR with current and future GW observations.

Data and code availability

The analysis code and accompanying data are publicly available at https://github.com/leishiv/constraints-higher-derivative-EFTGR-gw. The repository contains the scripts used for waveform construction, Fisher forecasts, Bayesian parameter estimation, and figure generation, together with the event-selection table and reference results.

The strain data, parameter-estimation products, detector PSDs, and waveform ROM data are obtained from the corresponding public releases [43, 44, 45, 46, 52]. Instructions for obtaining and using these data are provided in the repository.

Acknowledgements

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. 12675080, 12542053, and 12275238, the National Key Research and Development Program under Grant No. 2020YFC2201503, and the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos. LR21A050001 and LY20A050002, and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Provincial Universities of Zhejiang in China under Grant No. RF-A2019015.

This research has made use of data or software obtained from the Gravitational Wave Open Science Center (gwosc.org), a service of the LIGO Scientific Collaboration, the Virgo Collaboration, and KAGRA. This material is based upon work supported by NSF’s LIGO Laboratory which is a major facility fully funded by the National Science Foundation, as well as the Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC) of the United Kingdom, the Max-Planck-Society (MPS), and the State of Niedersachsen/Germany for support of the construction of Advanced LIGO and construction and operation of the GEO600 detector. Additional support for Advanced LIGO was provided by the Australian Research Council. Virgo is funded, through the European Gravitational Observatory (EGO), by the French Centre National de Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), the Italian Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN) and the Dutch Nikhef, with contributions by institutions from Belgium, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Japan, Monaco, Poland, Portugal, Spain. KAGRA is supported by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT), Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) in Japan; National Research Foundation (NRF) and Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT) in Korea; Academia Sinica (AS) and National Science and Technology Council (NSTC) in Taiwan, China.

OpenAI Codex and WorkBuddy were used as AI-assisted tools to support code development, data handling, numerical-analysis workflows, figure preparation, and manuscript editing. The author reviewed the code and analysis and takes responsibility for the methods and results.

The data analysis and figure preparation used Bilby [50], nessai [51], LALSuite [36], GWpy [53], h5py [54], NumPy [55], SciPy [56], and Matplotlib [57]. The implementation of the FTI phase corrections also follows the reference code in LALSuite and bilby-tgr [36, 37].

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