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Control variates for dry friction under colored noise: variance rates for non-smooth observables

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Abstract

A control variate method was introduced by Garnier and Mertz (2022) for multivalued stochastic differential equations driven by colored noise. For smooth observables, the asymptotic variance is O(ε2)O(\varepsilon^{2}), where ε2\varepsilon^{2} is the correlation time of the noise. However, for non-smooth reliability observables, such as threshold indicators and overshoot severities, rate estimates have not been established in general. In this paper, rate estimates are derived for the inertial dry-friction inclusion driven by colored noise in the three regimes whose white-noise propagators are known. The asymptotic variance of the resulting control variate estimators is O(ε2α)O(\varepsilon^{2α}) for αα-Hölder observables with α∈(0,1]α\in(0,1], O(ε)O(\varepsilon) for observables of bounded variation satisfying a one-sided continuity condition, O(ε1+α)O(\varepsilon^{1+α}) for observables that are both αα-Hölder and of bounded variation, and O(εmin⁡{2,1+2α})O(\varepsilon^{\min\{2,1+2α\}}) for observables with finitely many αα-cusps, where α∈(0,1]α\in (0, 1] is the cusp exponent. The last three bounds hold up to logarithmic factors. Bounds on the bias of the white-noise approximation and non-asymptotic sample-size estimates are also derived, and the comparison principle is shown to be preserved under coupled time discretization. Numerical experiments in the three regimes support the predicted rates.

Introduction

Dry (Coulomb) friction governs stick–slip oscillations and the positioning accuracy of machines [1, 2]. While a body slides, the friction force has magnitude Δ>0\Delta> 0 and opposes motion. At rest, it takes any value in [−Δ,Δ][-\Delta,\Delta] that keeps the body at rest. This is described by the subdifferential of φ(v)=Δ∣v∣\varphi(v) = \Delta|v|, with ∂φ(v)={Δsgn⁡(v)}\partial\varphi(v) = \{\Delta\operatorname{sgn}(v)\} for v≠0v \ne0 and ∂φ(0)=[−Δ,Δ]\partial\varphi(0) = [-\Delta,\Delta]. The equation of motion is a differential inclusion [3, 4], well posed by maximal monotone operator theory [5, 6]. Random loads lead to stochastic differential inclusions [6, 7, 8].

Under Gaussian white noise, dry friction is well understood. De Gennes [9] studied the stationary velocity law and the velocity correlations. The transition density is known in closed form for pure dry friction [10, 11, 12]. Touchette, Van der Straeten and Just [12] solved the Fokker–Planck equation by spectral series when viscous friction and a constant force are added, and Touchette, Prellberg and Just [13] obtained the Laplace transform of the propagator in closed form. See also [14, 15, 16] and the experiments [17, 18, 19]. Physical forcing, however, is colored [20, 21]. A finite correlation time changes the dynamics qualitatively. It induces genuine sticking [22, 23], leads to a piecewise-deterministic description with a critical correlation time [24, 25], and can make the white-noise approximation inaccurate for statistics such as the diffusivity [26]. Thus white-noise results cannot replace computations at positive correlation time.

The forcing can be represented by a linear functional of a fast multivariate Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process [27]. Let ε2\varepsilon^2 be its correlation time. As ε↓0\varepsilon\downarrow0, the response converges to the solution of a white-noise stochastic differential equation by the diffusion approximation [28, 29, 30], with the Wong–Zakai interpretation of the limit [31]. For fixed ε\varepsilon, expectations are costly. The Kolmogorov equation lives in the augmented phase space and has coefficients of order ε−2\varepsilon^{-2}. Plain Monte Carlo is slow for the small probabilities of reliability analysis. Control variates [32, 33, 34, 35] reduce this cost when a correlated quantity with a computable mean is available. Garnier and Mertz Garnier and Mertz [27] drive the colored-noise system and its white-noise limit by the same Wiener process. They compute the expectation of the limit from its Kolmogorov equation, which has no large terms, and estimate only the small difference by Monte Carlo. For smooth observables and the systems considered here, the asymptotic variance is O(ε2)O(\varepsilon^2) [27]. Other variance reduction methods require structure that is not natural here. Importance sampling [36] needs a biasing measure, subset simulation [37] intermediate events, and multilevel Monte Carlo [38, 39, 40] a hierarchy of resolutions along which the observable varies smoothly.

Reliability analysis, however, needs non-smooth observables [41, 42, 43]. Examples are the indicator 1{∣v∣≥vf}\mathbf{1}_{\{|v|\ge v_f\}} of threshold crossing and severity measures that quantify overshoot. The latter are continuous but singular at the threshold. For such observables, the experiments of [27] indicate a variance of order ε\varepsilon rather than ε2\varepsilon^2. No rate has been proved. The difficulty is structural. The perturbed test function method of [27] requires observables with bounded derivatives. For an indicator, the difference along the coupled trajectories is not small but rarely nonzero. Its second moment is essentially the probability that the threshold lies between the two terminal velocities. Bounding this probability requires regularity of the white-noise law near the threshold and tail bounds for the coupling error. The mean-square coupling bound of [27] alone cannot give a better rate than ε2/3\varepsilon^{2/3}. Indeed, for ff of bounded variation, Avikainen’s inequality [44] bounds the LqL^q distance between the coupled values of ff by a moment of the coupling error and a density bound. With the second moment it gives ε2/3\varepsilon^{2/3}, and it is sharp under this information; see also [45, 46]. We obtain sharper rates for the inertial dry-friction system

X¨ε(t)+∂φ(X˙ε(t))∋b(Xε(t),X˙ε(t))+σξε(t),(Xε(0),X˙ε(0))=(x0,v0),t∈[0,T].(1)\ddot{X}^{\varepsilon}(t)+\partial\varphi\left(\dot{X}^{\varepsilon}(t)\right)\ni b\left(X^{\varepsilon}(t),\dot{X}^{\varepsilon}(t)\right)+\sigma\xi^{\varepsilon}(t),\qquad\left(X^{\varepsilon}(0),\dot{X}^{\varepsilon}(0)\right)=(x_0,v_0),\qquad t\in[0,T]. \tag*{(1)}

where ξε\xi^\varepsilon is a colored noise of correlation time ε2\varepsilon^2, σ>0\sigma>0, and bb is one of the three drifts for which the white-noise problem was solved in [12]: b=0b=0 (regime (I), pure dry friction), b(x,v)=−γvb(x,v)=-\gamma v with γ>0\gamma>0 (regime (II), dry and viscous friction), and b(x,v)=−γv+ℓb(x,v)=-\gamma v+\ell with γ>0\gamma>0, ℓ∈R\ell\in\mathbb{R} (regime (III), dry and viscous friction with a constant force). Since bb depends only on velocity, Vε=X˙εV^\varepsilon=\dot{X}^\varepsilon solves a scalar multivalued equation [27]. This scalar structure is exploited in our analysis.

Contributions

Throughout, VεV^\varepsilon and V0V^0 are the colored-noise velocity and its white-noise counterpart driven by the same Wiener process.

Main result. Theorem 3.1 bounds the second moment E[(f(Vε(T))−f(V0(T)))2]\mathbb{E}[(f(V^\varepsilon(T))-f(V^0(T)))^2], which in turn bounds the asymptotic variances of the control variate estimators of [27]. The bound holds for four classes of observables. Up to logarithmic factors in the last three cases,

E[(f(Vε(T))−f(V0(T)))2]≲{ε2α,f α-Ho¨lder,ε,f of bounded variation,ε1+α,f α-Ho¨lder and of bounded variation,εmin⁡{2,1+2α},f with finitely many α-cusps.\mathbb{E}\left[(f(V^\varepsilon(T))-f(V^0(T)))^2\right]\lesssim \begin{cases} \varepsilon^{2\alpha}, & f\ \alpha\text{-Hölder},\\ \varepsilon, & f\ \text{of bounded variation},\\ \varepsilon^{1+\alpha}, & f\ \alpha\text{-Hölder and of bounded variation},\\ \varepsilon^{\min\{2,1+2\alpha\}}, & f\ \text{with finitely many }\alpha\text{-cusps}. \end{cases}

where observables of bounded variation satisfy a mild one-sided continuity condition. The first rate extends the rate ε2\varepsilon^2 of [27] from smooth to Lipschitz observables (α=1\alpha= 1). The other three go beyond the ε2/3\varepsilon^{2/3} barrier. Up to a logarithm, the bound is of order ε\varepsilon for threshold indicators and of order ε2\varepsilon^2 for severity measures with α>1/2\alpha> 1/2. For threshold indicators, this is the order indicated by the experiments of [27].

The proof uses two structural properties. First, a pathwise comparison principle shows that the solution map from integrated forcing to velocity is 2-Lipschitz for the uniform norm (Proposition B.1); its continuity is known [6 Proposition 4.16]. The integrated colored and white forcings differ by an explicit functional of the OU process of order ε\varepsilon. Hence the coupling error has Gaussian tails at scale ϑε\vartheta_\varepsilon (Proposition B.2). Second, the law of the white-noise terminal velocity has a density with an explicit bound in all three regimes (Proposition B.3). It is obtained by comparing the white-noise velocity, through Girsanov’s theorem, with pure dry friction, whose transition density is known in closed form [11]. In regimes (II) and (III), the propagator is known through spectral series [12] and through its Laplace transform [13], which give no explicit bound; see Remark B.1 for general density estimates.

Consequences. The rates imply bounds on the bias of the white-noise approximation, on variance reduction, and on sample size (Corollaries 3.1 to 3.3).

Numerical experiments. The coupled time discretization satisfies a discrete comparison principle (Proposition 5.1). Thus the coupling survives discretization. Discretization affects the bias of the estimators but not the coupling error, so strong rates for such schemes [47] are not needed. In the three regimes, we test the predicted exponents, the coupling-error bounds and the variance reduction (§ 5).

Organization and notation

The paper is organized as follows. Section 2 sets up the model and estimators. Section 3 states the main results. Section 4 contains the proofs. Section 5 reports numerical experiments. Section 6 concludes. Appendix A contains auxiliary lemmas, Appendix B the comparison principle, the coupling error and the density bound, and Appendix C implementation details.

We write a∧b=min⁡{a,b}a \wedge b = \min\{a,b\}, a∨b=max⁡{a,b}a \vee b = \max\{a,b\}, x+=max⁡{x,0}x_+ = \max\{x,0\}, and sgn⁡(x)=x/∣x∣\operatorname{sgn}(x) = x/\lvert x\rvert for x≠0x \ne0, with sgn⁡(0)=0\operatorname{sgn}(0) = 0. The set ⟦x,y⟧≔[x∧y,x∨y]\llbracket x,y\rrbracket\coloneqq[x \wedge y,x \vee y] is the closed segment between x,y∈Rx,y \in\mathbb{R}.

We denote by ∣⋅∣\lvert\cdot\rvert the Euclidean norm, by ∥⋅∥\lVert\cdot\rVert the operator norm, by Leb⁡\operatorname{Leb} Lebesgue measure, and by Φ‾(x)≔(2π)−1/2∫x∞e−z2/2 dz\overline{\Phi}(x) \coloneqq(2\pi)^{-1/2}\int_x^\infty e^{-z^2/2}\,\mathrm{d}z the standard Gaussian tail. The space C00([0,T])C^0_0([0,T]) consists of the continuous w ⁣:[0,T]→Rw\colon[0,T] \to\mathbb{R} with w(0)=0w(0)=0, with norm ∥w∥∞=sup⁡t≤T∣w(t)∣\lVert w\rVert_\infty= \sup_{t\le T}\lvert w(t)\rvert. Constants CC may change from line to line.

Model and mathematical preliminaries

Throughout, T>0T > 0, x0,v0∈Rx_0,v_0 \in\mathbb{R}, Δ>0\Delta> 0 and σ>0\sigma> 0 are fixed, and φ(v)=Δ∣v∣\varphi(v) = \Delta\lvert v\rvert.

The dry-friction inclusion

Assumption A1 (velocity-dependent drift). The drift in (1.1) is b(x,v)=b‾(v)≔−γv+ℓb(x,v)=\overline{b}(v) \coloneqq-\gamma v+\ell, where either γ=ℓ=0\gamma=\ell=0 (regime (I)), or γ>0\gamma>0 and ℓ=0\ell=0 (regime (II)), or γ>0\gamma>0 and ℓ∈R\ell\in\mathbb{R} (regime (III)).

Under Assumption A1, system (1.1) is equivalent to

X˙ε=Vε,V˙ε+∂φ(Vε)∋b‾(Vε)+σξε(t),(Xε(0),Vε(0))=(x0,v0),t∈[0,T].(2)\dot{X}^{\varepsilon}=V^{\varepsilon},\qquad \dot{V}^{\varepsilon}+\partial\varphi(V^{\varepsilon})\ni\overline{b}(V^{\varepsilon})+\sigma\xi^{\varepsilon}(t),\qquad (X^{\varepsilon}(0),V^{\varepsilon}(0))=(x_0,v_0),\qquad t\in[0,T]. \tag*{(2)}

The velocity inclusion is autonomous and the position is recovered by quadrature. We want to compute E[f(Vε(T))]\mathbb{E}[f(V^\varepsilon(T))] for an observable ff of the terminal velocity in one of the classes of Section 2.4. We use the convex potential

U(v)≔γ2v2−ℓv+Δ∣v∣,U∗≔inf⁡v∈RU(v)={0,regime (I),−((∣ℓ∣−Δ)+)22γ,regimes (II)–(III),(3)U(v) \coloneqq\frac{\gamma}{2}v^2-\ell v+\Delta\lvert v\rvert,\qquad U_\ast\coloneqq\inf_{v\in\mathbb{R}} U(v)=\begin{cases} 0, & \text{regime (I)}, \\ -\frac{((\lvert\ell\rvert-\Delta)_+)^2}{2\gamma}, & \text{regimes (II)--(III)}, \end{cases} \tag*{(3)}

so that bˉ−∂φ=−∂U\bar b-\partial\varphi=-\partial U: the noiseless velocity dynamics is the subdifferential flow of UU. In regime (III), ∣ℓ∣<Δ\lvert\ell\rvert<\Delta is the deterministic stick phase (the minimum of UU is attained at 00) and ∣ℓ∣>Δ\lvert\ell\rvert>\Delta the slip phase.

Colored noise and coupling

Assumption A2 (colored noise). Let d,d′≥1d,d'\ge1, let A∈Rd×d\mathbf{A}\in\mathbb{R}^{d\times d} have eigenvalues with strictly positive real part, let K∈Rd×d′\mathbf{K}\in\mathbb{R}^{d\times d'}, and let r∈Rd∖{0}\mathbf{r}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}\setminus\{0\}. On a filtered probability space (Ω,F,(Ft)t≥0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\ge0},\mathbb{P}) satisfying the usual conditions we are given a standard d′d'-dimensional (Ft)(\mathcal{F}_t)-Brownian motion W\mathbf{W} and an F0\mathcal{F}_0-measurable random vector η0∼N(0,C)\boldsymbol{\eta}_0\sim\mathcal{N}(0,\mathbf{C}), where

C≔∫0∞e−AuKKTe−ATu du\mathbf{C}\coloneqq\int_0^\infty e^{-\mathbf{A}u}\mathbf{K}\mathbf{K}^{\mathsf{T}}e^{-\mathbf{A}^{\mathsf{T}}u}\,du

is the unique solution of AC+CAT=KKT\mathbf{A}\mathbf{C}+\mathbf{C}\mathbf{A}^{\mathsf{T}}=\mathbf{K}\mathbf{K}^{\mathsf{T}}. For ε>0\varepsilon>0, ηε\boldsymbol{\eta}^{\varepsilon} solves

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